League One · Regular Season - 16
Blackpool vs Wigan
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Blackpool host Wigan on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Blackpool 50%, draw 27%, Wigan 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Blackpool €599K, Wigan €354K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Blackpool goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Blackpool 1794 · Wigan 1697
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Blackpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1794
Wigan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1752
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Blackpool
19th in League One · 12 pts from 12
- 7 NovDAFC Hornchurch England FA Cup1785
- 1 NovDSheffield Wednesday England League One1805
- 27 OctWAston Villa U21 England EFL Trophy1755
- 24 OctLMansfield Town England League One1803
- 20 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1780
Wigan
21st in League One · 11 pts from 14
- 10 NovWCrewe England EFL Trophy1616
- 7 NovWBoreham Wood England FA Cup1716
- 3 NovDMansfield Town England League One1643
- 31 OctWBromley England League One1629
- 27 OctLLeicester England League One1647
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 12 /12 | 57.3 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16th |
| Wigan | 11 /14 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Blackpool: balanced profile (how I. Evatt plays) · Wigan: balanced profile (how G. Caldwell plays)