Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 29
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg
BK Hacken host IF Elfsborg on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: BK Hacken 44%, draw 28%, IF Elfsborg 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: BK Hacken €632K, IF Elfsborg €714K.
- Style contrast in possession (Allsvenskan): BK Hacken rank #2 of 18, IF Elfsborg #16.
- BK Hacken's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. BK Hacken goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 2–07%
- 0–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: BK Hacken 1721 · IF Elfsborg 1692
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
BK Hacken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1787
IF Elfsborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1790
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
BK Hacken
4th in Allsvenskan · 49 pts from 28
- 8 NovLAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1762
- 1 NovWIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1717
- 28 OctDIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1758
- 24 OctWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1743
- 18 OctWMalmo FF Allsvenskan1721
IF Elfsborg
5th in Allsvenskan · 46 pts from 28
- 6 NovLHammarby FF Allsvenskan1703
- 1 NovWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
- 27 OctDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1704
- 23 OctDMalmo FF Allsvenskan1735
- 18 OctDSirius Allsvenskan1728
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken | 49 /28 | 51.7 | 0% | 86% | 0% | 4th |
| IF Elfsborg | 46 /28 | 48.8 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
BK Hacken: possession-based (how J. Gustafsson plays) · IF Elfsborg: direct (how Bjorn Hamberg plays)