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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 7

Beşiktaş 2–1 Kocaelispor

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul

Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaşTeam 2230
2–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Kocaelispor crestKocaelisporTeam 1762

Match story

Beşiktaş · draw · Kocaelispor

Before kick-off: 79% · 14% · 7%

Live chances: Beşiktaş 98%, draw 2%, Kocaelispor 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 79%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%2' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 79%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%3' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 79%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%4' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 79%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%5' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 78%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%6' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 78%, draw 14%, Kocaelispor 7%7' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 78%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 7%8' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 78%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 7%9' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 77%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 8%10' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 77%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 8%11' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 77%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 8%12' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 77%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor 8%14' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 76%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor 8%15' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 76%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor 8%16' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 75%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor 8%17' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 75%, draw 17%, Kocaelispor 8%18' · 0–0 · Beşiktaş 75%, draw 17%, Kocaelispor 8%19' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%20' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%21' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%22' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%23' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%24' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%25' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%26' · 1–0 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 2%27' · 1–1 · Beşiktaş 72%, draw 19%, Kocaelispor 9%28' · 1–1 · Beşiktaş 72%, draw 19%, Kocaelispor 9%29' · 1–1 · Beşiktaş 71%, draw 20%, Kocaelispor 9%30' · 1–1 · Beşiktaş 71%, draw 20%, Kocaelispor 9%31' · 1–1 · Beşiktaş 71%, draw 20%, Kocaelispor 9%32' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%33' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%34' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%35' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%36' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%37' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%38' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%39' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%40' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 2%41' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%42' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%43' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%44' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%45' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%HT · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%46' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%47' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%48' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%49' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%50' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%51' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%52' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 2%53' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%54' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%55' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%56' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%57' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%58' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%59' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%60' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%61' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%62' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%63' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 88%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 2%64' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%65' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%66' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%67' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%68' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%69' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%71' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%72' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%73' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%74' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%75' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 89%, draw 10%, Kocaelispor 1%76' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%77' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%78' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%79' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 90%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%80' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%81' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 9%, Kocaelispor 1%82' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 1%83' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 91%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 1%84' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 92%, draw 8%, Kocaelispor 0%85' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 92%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 0%86' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 93%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 0%87' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 93%, draw 7%, Kocaelispor 0%88' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 93%, draw 6%, Kocaelispor 0%89' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 94%, draw 6%, Kocaelispor 0%90' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 95%, draw 5%, Kocaelispor 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 95%, draw 5%, Kocaelispor 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 96%, draw 4%, Kocaelispor 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 97%, draw 3%, Kocaelispor 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Beşiktaş 98%, draw 2%, Kocaelispor 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Beşiktaş 79% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Beşiktaş:O. Kokcu 2304 0* assist V. Cerny 2203 −7*
  2. 27'Kocaelispor:Show 2011 −11*
  3. 29'Kocaelispor:T. Bingol 1736 −13*
  4. 31'Beşiktaş:D. Vlahovic 2244 +1* (pen.)
  5. 39'Beşiktaş:I. Fakili 1903 +10 for V. Cerny 2203 −7*
  6. 61'Kocaelispor:R. Rivas 1799 −8* for G. Sousa 1590 −8*
  7. 71'Kocaelispor:F. Aye 1835 −9* for D. Agyei 1913 −9*
  8. 71'Kocaelispor:T. Gulliksen 1751 −8* for T. Bingol 1736 −13*
  9. 71'Beşiktaş:W. Ndidi 2138 −7* for S. Ozcan 2191 +7
  10. 71'Beşiktaş:K. Ouattara 1987 −4* for R. Yilmaz 2201 0*
  11. 71'Beşiktaş:E. Agbadou 2227 −7* for E. Topcu 2235 0*
  12. 78'Kocaelispor:S. Oztasdelen 1666 −8*
  13. 78'Beşiktaş:L. Trossard 2483 +1
  14. 84'Beşiktaş:K. Kayra Yilmaz 2033 −7* for O. Kokcu 2304 0*
  15. 87'Kocaelispor:M. Cinan 1687 −8* for U. Yildiz 1669 −8*
  16. 87'Kocaelispor:M. Baku 1900 −9* for O. Oztonga 1508 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-3-3
GSerhat Öztaşdelen1666−8*
DUğur Kaan Yıldız1669−8*
DOnur Öztonga1508−8*
DEmir Ortakaya1848−8*
DTayfur Bingöl1736−13*
MShow2011−11*
MBerkan Kutlu2135−16*
MMahamadou Susoho1657−8*
FGonçalo Sousa1590−8*
FMetehan Altunbaş1822−8*
FDan Agyei1913−9*
CSelçuk İnan1982
Before kick-off: 79% · 14% · 7%(Beşiktaş · draw · Kocaelispor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Beşiktaş €10.1M, Kocaelispor €1.4M.
  • Kocaelispor were without 3 expected starters: A. Dijksteel (1975), M. Haïdara (1945) and T. Zoukrou (1903).
  • Draw chance was 19%, below the Süper Lig average of 26% this round.
  • Süper Lig: L. Trossard was the highest-rated midfielder (2483).
  • All 11 of Beşiktaş's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Beşiktaş

5th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 6

  • 20 SepLAmed 2223
  • 17 SepWMarseille 2177
  • 11 SepWErzurumspor FK 2216
  • 5 SepWFenerbahçe 2215
  • 31 AugWÇorum FK 2198

Kocaelispor

6th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWGaziantep FK 1806
  • 13 SepLGalatasaray 1848
  • 6 SepWSamsunspor 1829
  • 29 AugWKonyaspor 1807
  • 24 AugWAmed 1734

Season outlook

From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Beşiktaş12 /668.122%97%0%3rd
Kocaelispor12 /647.90%5%2%5th
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Süper Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Trossard
L. Trossard

Beşiktaş · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2483

Show
Show

Kocaelispor · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 2022

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vincenzo Italiano

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Selçuk İnan

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays) · Kocaelispor: balanced profile (how Selçuk İnan plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.