Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Beşiktaş host Gençlerbirliği S.K. on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Beşiktaş 74%, draw 17%, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Beşiktaş €9.4M, Gençlerbirliği S.K. €1.2M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Süper Lig matchday 11: 382 points.
- Draw chance 17%, below the Süper Lig average of 25% this round.
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard is the highest-rated midfielder (2450).
- Style contrast in possession (Süper Lig): Beşiktaş rank #4 of 18, Gençlerbirliği S.K. #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Beşiktaş goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Beşiktaş 2210 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1828
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2450
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1940
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Beşiktaş
5th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 8
- 22 OctDCrystal Palace UEFA Europa League2115
- 19 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig2252
- 15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2200
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
15th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 8
- 17 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1798
- 10 OctDAmed Turkey Super Lig1813
- 19 SepLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1866
- 13 SepLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1868
- 6 SepLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1870
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 15 /8 | 67.6 | 15% | 95% | 0% | 3rd |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 /8 | 38.3 | 0% | <1% | 25% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays) · Gençlerbirliği S.K.: balanced profile (how Bernd Storck plays)