Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Beşiktaş host Başakşehir on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Beşiktaş 66%, draw 21%, Başakşehir 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Beşiktaş €9.3M, Başakşehir €2.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Süper Lig matchday 9: 273 points.
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard is the highest-rated midfielder (2490).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Süper Lig): Beşiktaş rank #3 of 18, Başakşehir #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Beşiktaş goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Beşiktaş 2226 · Başakşehir 1953
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2490
Başakşehir · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2039
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Beşiktaş
4th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 7
- 15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2200
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
- 17 SepWMarseille UEFA Europa League2177
- 11 SepWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig2216
Başakşehir
10th in Süper Lig · 11 pts from 8
- 18 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1916
- 11 OctDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1927
- 19 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1916
- 13 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig1958
- 4 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1970
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 15 /7 | 70.1 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| Başakşehir | 11 /8 | 47.7 | 0% | 4% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays) · Başakşehir: balanced profile (how Nuri Şahin plays)