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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Benfica 2–0 Vitória SC

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica crestBenficaTeam 2222
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Vitória SC crestVitória SCTeam 1734

Match story

Benfica · draw · Vitória SC

Before kick-off: 81% · 13% · 6%

Live chances: Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Benfica 80%, draw 13%, Vitória SC 6%2' · 0–0 · Benfica 80%, draw 13%, Vitória SC 7%3' · 0–0 · Benfica 80%, draw 13%, Vitória SC 7%4' · 0–0 · Benfica 80%, draw 13%, Vitória SC 7%5' · 0–0 · Benfica 80%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 7%6' · 0–0 · Benfica 79%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 7%7' · 0–0 · Benfica 79%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 7%8' · 0–0 · Benfica 79%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 7%9' · 0–0 · Benfica 79%, draw 14%, Vitória SC 7%10' · 0–0 · Benfica 78%, draw 15%, Vitória SC 7%11' · 0–0 · Benfica 78%, draw 15%, Vitória SC 7%12' · 0–0 · Benfica 78%, draw 15%, Vitória SC 7%13' · 0–0 · Benfica 78%, draw 15%, Vitória SC 7%14' · 0–0 · Benfica 77%, draw 15%, Vitória SC 7%15' · 0–0 · Benfica 77%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 7%16' · 0–0 · Benfica 77%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 8%17' · 0–0 · Benfica 76%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 8%18' · 0–0 · Benfica 76%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 8%19' · 0–0 · Benfica 76%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 8%20' · 0–0 · Benfica 76%, draw 17%, Vitória SC 8%21' · 0–0 · Benfica 75%, draw 17%, Vitória SC 8%22' · 0–0 · Benfica 75%, draw 17%, Vitória SC 8%23' · 0–0 · Benfica 75%, draw 17%, Vitória SC 8%24' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%25' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%26' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%27' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%28' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%29' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%30' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%31' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%32' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 7%, Vitória SC 2%33' · 1–0 · Benfica 91%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%34' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%35' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%36' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%37' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%38' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%39' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%40' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%41' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%42' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%43' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%44' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%45' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%45+1' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 8%, Vitória SC 2%45+2' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%45+3' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%HT · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%46' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%48' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%49' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%50' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%52' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%53' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%54' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%55' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%56' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%57' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%58' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 2%59' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 2%60' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 2%61' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 2%62' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%63' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%64' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%65' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%66' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%67' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%68' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%69' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%70' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%71' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 10%, Vitória SC 1%72' · 1–0 · Benfica 89%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 1%73' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 1%74' · 1–0 · Benfica 90%, draw 9%, Vitória SC 1%75' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%76' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%77' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%78' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%79' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%81' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 1%, Vitória SC 0%82' · 2–0 · Benfica 99%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%83' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%84' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%85' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%86' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%87' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%88' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%89' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%90' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Benfica 100%, draw 0%, Vitória SC 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Benfica 81% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Vitória SC:Tony Strata 1802 −10*
  2. 24'Benfica:Samuel Dahl 2312 +9 assist Vangelis Pavlidis 2352 +6
  3. 33'Vitória SC:Gonçalo Nogueira 1773 −9*
  4. 50'Vitória SC:Toni Borevković 1875 −14*
  5. 52'Benfica:Leandro Barreiro 2298 −6*
  6. 55'Benfica:Tomás Araújo 2338 +8
  7. 57'Vitória SC:Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva 1801 −12*
  8. 61'Benfica:Fredrik Aursnes 2289 +1 for Leandro Barreiro 2298 −6*
  9. 61'Benfica:Claudio Echeverri 1859 0* for Andreas Schjelderup 2317 +6
  10. 66'Vitória SC:Beni Mukendi 1860 −9* for Lohann Doucet 1663 −8*
  11. 67'Vitória SC:Telmo Arcanjo 1824 −8* for Miguel Nogueira 1624 −8*
  12. 72'Vitória SC:Balieiro Thiago 1672 −8*
  13. 73'Benfica:Heorhii Sudakov 2290 +2 for Alexander Bah 2230 0*
  14. 73'Benfica:Dodi Lukebakio 2142 0 for Rafa Silva 2023 −7*
  15. 73'Vitória SC:Matija Mitrović 1664 −8* for Gonçalo Nogueira 1773 −9*
  16. 73'Vitória SC:Patrick Ouotro 1550 −8* for Arnel Jakupović 1624 −8*
  17. 75'Benfica:Heorhii Sudakov 2290 +2 assist Claudio Echeverri 1859 0*
  18. 81'Vitória SC:Miguel Magalhaes 1861 −8* for Tony Strata 1802 −10*
  19. 82'Benfica:Jhon Durán 2288 −7* for Vangelis Pavlidis 2352 +6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GSamuel Soares2057−1*
DA. Bah22300*
DTomás Araújo2338+8
DA. Circati2170+6*
DS. Dahl2312+9
ML. Barreiro2298−6*
MJoão Palhinha2300+2
MRafa2023−7*
MG. Prestianni2155+6*
MA. Schjelderup2317+6
FV. Pavlidis2352+6
CMarco Silva2327−2*
GO. Zych1836−11*
DT. Strata1802−10*
DThiago Balieiro1672−8*
DT. Borevković1875−14*
DJoão Mendes1892−13*
MGonçalo Nogueira1773−9*
ML. Doucet1663−8*
MO. Camara1781−9*
MSamu1801−12*
MMiguel Nogueira1624−8*
FA. Jakupovic1624−8*
CTiago Margarido1730−8*
Before kick-off: 81% · 13% · 6%(Benfica · draw · Vitória SC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 3–0 (10%); the result 2–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Benfica €12.8M, Vitória SC €1.6M.
  • Draw chance was 15%, below the Primeira Liga average of 24% this round.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Primeira Liga): Benfica ranked #2 of 18, Vitória SC #17.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Benfica

4th in Primeira Liga · 16 pts from 7

  • 20 SepLFC Porto 2248
  • 16 SepWAC Milan 2124
  • 13 SepWGIL Vicente 2164
  • 9 SepWMoreirense 2146
  • 5 SepWMaritimo 2222

Vitória SC

14th in Primeira Liga · 5 pts from 7

  • 20 SepDMoreirense 1777
  • 12 SepLAcademico Viseu 1773
  • 6 SepDCasa Pia 1761
  • 31 AugLSC Braga 1773
  • 23 AugWNacional 1750

Season outlook

From the Primeira Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Benfica16 /776.59%100%0%2nd
Vitória SC5 /738.60%1%15%13th
Benfica
Vitória SC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primeira Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup

Benfica · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2312

A. Jakupovic
A. Jakupovic

Vitória SC · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1632

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Benfica: shot-heavy · possession-based (how Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva plays) · Vitória SC: balanced profile (how Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.