Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 9
Benfica B vs Chaves
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Benfica Campus, Seixal
Benfica B host Chaves on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Benfica B 44%, draw 28%, Chaves 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Benfica B €397K, Chaves €283K.
- Segunda Liga: A. Cabral is the highest-rated forward (1862).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Benfica B goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Benfica B 1523 · Chaves 1499
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chaves · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1538
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Benfica B
5th in Segunda Liga · 13 pts from 7
- 12 OctWFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21556
- 11 SepWAcademica Liga Portugal 21462
- 5 SepLTorreense Liga Portugal 21398
- 10 AugWLeixoes Liga Portugal 21540
- 15 MayLFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21547
Chaves
17th in Segunda Liga · 5 pts from 7
- 11 OctDLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21506
- 4 OctLFarense Liga Portugal 21509
- 30 AugLFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21444
- 8 AugLAcademica Liga Portugal 21419
- 15 MayWMaritimo Liga Portugal 21457
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 13 /7 | 49.7 | 4% | 26% | 3% | 5th |
| Chaves | 5 /7 | 41.2 | <1% | 3% | 28% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –