Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11
Benfica B vs AVS
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Benfica Campus, Seixal
Benfica B host AVS on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Benfica B 39%, draw 29%, AVS 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Benfica B €421K, AVS €342K.
- Home advantage makes Benfica B the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Benfica B goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Benfica B 1515 · AVS 1548
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AVS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1571
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Benfica B
6th in Segunda Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 24 OctDFeirense Liga Portugal 21470
- 12 OctWFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21556
- 11 SepWAcademica Liga Portugal 21462
- 5 SepLTorreense Liga Portugal 21398
- 10 AugWLeixoes Liga Portugal 21540
AVS
7th in Segunda Liga · 12 pts from 8
- 25 OctWTondela Liga Portugal 21497
- 9 OctWPenafiel Liga Portugal 21515
- 13 SepDFarense Liga Portugal 21452
- 7 SepLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21513
- 30 AugWFeirense Liga Portugal 21468
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 14 /8 | 48.6 | 3% | 21% | 4% | 6th |
| AVS | 12 /8 | 49.5 | 4% | 25% | 3% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –