Serie B · Regular Season - 13
Benevento vs Empoli
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Benevento host Empoli on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Benevento 44%, draw 28%, Empoli 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Benevento €555K, Empoli €662K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Benevento goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Benevento 1617 · Empoli 1599
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Benevento · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1759
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1619
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Benevento
6th in Serie B · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDAvellino Italy Serie B1666
- 31 OctLCremonese Italy Serie B1577
- 27 OctDCatanzaro Italy Serie B1641
- 24 OctWArezzo Italy Serie B1642
- 17 OctDVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1586
Empoli
19th in Serie B · 9 pts from 11
- 7 NovDPadova Italy Serie B1597
- 1 NovDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1606
- 27 OctLCesena Italy Serie B1604
- 23 OctLVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1638
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1624
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 16 /11 | 46.5 | 0% | 1% | 11% | 13th |
| Empoli | 9 /11 | 39.6 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile