Serie B · Regular Season - 6
Benevento 2–0 Cesena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
BeneventoTeam 1512
CesenaTeam 1619- Antonis Siatounis 25'
- Luigi Cherubini 90+3'
We gave Cesena 38% to win: Benevento won.
- Antonis Siatounis 1503 +85* assist David Okereke 1835 +13*25'
Benevento:Antonis Siatounis 1503 +85* assist David Okereke 1835 +13* - Christian Kouan 1755 +32*44'
Benevento:Christian Kouan 1755 +32* - 45'Matteo Guidi 1627 −8* for Emil Bohinen 1721 −15*
Cesena:Matteo Guidi 1627 −8* for Emil Bohinen 1721 −15* - 45'Antonio Fiori 1678 −8* for Marco Dalla Vecchia 1643 −8*
Cesena:Antonio Fiori 1678 −8* for Marco Dalla Vecchia 1643 −8* - Christian Dalle Mura 1664 +8* for Davide Lamesta 1330 +22*62'
Benevento:Christian Dalle Mura 1664 +8* for Davide Lamesta 1330 +22* - 67'Alessandro Debenedetti 1507 −8* for Luca D'Andrea 1527 −8*
Cesena:Alessandro Debenedetti 1507 −8* for Luca D'Andrea 1527 −8* - 68'X. Druiventak 1117 −8* for Riccardo Pagano 1714 −11*
Cesena:X. Druiventak 1117 −8* for Riccardo Pagano 1714 −11* - 75'Vittorio Magni 1473 −8* for Andrea Ciofi 1650 −8*
Cesena:Vittorio Magni 1473 −8* for Andrea Ciofi 1650 −8* - Raffaele Romano for Edoardo·Pierozzi 1663 +42*79'
Benevento:Raffaele Romano for Edoardo·Pierozzi 1663 +42* - Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4* for David Okereke 1835 +13*79'
Benevento:Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4* for David Okereke 1835 +13* - Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4*81'
Benevento:Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4* - Pier Luigi·Simonetti 848 −2* for Mattia Maita 1795 −1*84'
Benevento:Pier Luigi·Simonetti 848 −2* for Mattia Maita 1795 −1* - Raffaele Romano85'
Benevento:Raffaele Romano - Stefano Scognamillo 1745 +29*85'
Benevento:Stefano Scognamillo 1745 +29* - Francesco Salvemini 1257 +41*86'
Benevento:Francesco Salvemini 1257 +41* - Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4* assist Pietro Saio 1502 +85*90+3'
Benevento:Luigi Cherubini 1763 −4* assist Pietro Saio 1502 +85*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 26% · 38%(Benevento · draw · Cesena)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Benevento €439K, Cesena €844K.
- Home advantage made Benevento the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Cesena were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Benevento
8th in Serie B · 7 pts from 5
- 19 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1508
- 11 SepWHellas Verona Italy Serie B1401
- 5 SepLAscoli Italy Serie B1417
- 30 AugDSudtirol Italy Serie B1407
- 22 AugLModena Italy Serie B1439
Cesena
10th in Serie B · 7 pts from 5
- 18 SepDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1662
- 12 SepDCremonese Italy Serie B1608
- 6 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1560
- 29 AugWVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1602
- 23 AugDSampdoria Italy Serie B1588
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 7 /5 | 42.4 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 19th |
| Cesena | 7 /5 | 48.4 | 0% | 4% | 11% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Benevento · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1796

Cesena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1651
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.