Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Belgrano Cordoba 0–3 River Plate
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 23:15 UTC · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Belgrano CordobaTeam 1744
River PlateTeam 2060Match story
Belgrano Cordoba · draw · River PlateBefore kick-off: 21% · 24% · 55%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Tomás Ezequiel Galván 45+3'
- Ángel Correa 49'
- Thiago Almada 72'
We gave River Plate 55% to win: they did.
- 45+3'Tomás Ezequiel Galván 2058 +39 assist Gonzalo Montiel 2083 +28
River Plate:Tomás Ezequiel Galván 2058 +39 assist Gonzalo Montiel 2083 +28 - Adrian Sanchez 1832 −1345+8'
Belgrano Cordoba:Adrian Sanchez 1832 −13 - 49'Ángel Correa 2149 +27 assist Lucas Beltran 2070 +10
River Plate:Ángel Correa 2149 +27 assist Lucas Beltran 2070 +10 - Franco Vázquez 1655 −1051'
Belgrano Cordoba:Franco Vázquez 1655 −10 - Lisandro López 1763 −1761'
Belgrano Cordoba:Lisandro López 1763 −17 - 67'Lucas Beltran 2070 +10
River Plate:Lucas Beltran 2070 +10 - Nicolás Fernández 1693 −2 for Lucas Passerini 1700 −468'
Belgrano Cordoba:Nicolás Fernández 1693 −2 for Lucas Passerini 1700 −4 - Ramiro Tulián 1424 −8* for Ramiro Hernandes –68'
Belgrano Cordoba:Ramiro Tulián 1424 −8* for Ramiro Hernandes – - 68'Fausto Vera 2073 +2 for Tobías Andrada 1958 +20
River Plate:Fausto Vera 2073 +2 for Tobías Andrada 1958 +20 - 68'Sebastián Driussi 2036 +1 for Lucas Beltran 2070 +10
River Plate:Sebastián Driussi 2036 +1 for Lucas Beltran 2070 +10 - 72'Thiago Almada 2308 +17 assist Tomás Ezequiel Galván 2058 +39
River Plate:Thiago Almada 2308 +17 assist Tomás Ezequiel Galván 2058 +39 - 73'Giovanni Gonzalez 1967 −3* for Gonzalo Montiel 2083 +28
River Plate:Giovanni Gonzalez 1967 −3* for Gonzalo Montiel 2083 +28 - Juan Velázquez 1786 −2 for Adrian Spörle 1810 −1173'
Belgrano Cordoba:Juan Velázquez 1786 −2 for Adrian Spörle 1810 −11 - Francisco González Metilli 1743 −2 for Franco Vázquez 1655 −1079'
Belgrano Cordoba:Francisco González Metilli 1743 −2 for Franco Vázquez 1655 −10 - Lautaro Ismael Gutierrez 1425 0 for Emiliano Rigoni 1747 −1179'
Belgrano Cordoba:Lautaro Ismael Gutierrez 1425 0 for Emiliano Rigoni 1747 −11 - 82'Juan Cruz Meza 1825 +5 for Fausto Vera 2073 +2
River Plate:Juan Cruz Meza 1825 +5 for Fausto Vera 2073 +2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 21% · 24% · 55%(Belgrano Cordoba · draw · River Plate)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–3 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Belgrano Cordoba €635K, River Plate €5.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga Profesional Clausura - 13: 259 points.
- Liga Profesional: S. Beltrán was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2039).
- River Plate's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Belgrano Cordoba were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Belgrano Cordoba
5th in Liga Profesional · 26 pts from 16
- 11 OctWRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1741
- 4 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1726
- 20 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1712
- 13 SepDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 4 SepDHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1753
River Plate
2nd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16
- 14 OctDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional2048
- 11 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1985
- 19 SepLHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional2045
- 12 SepWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional2038
- 6 SepWIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional2024
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Cordoba | 26 /16 | 31.6 | <1% | 9% | 0% | 8th |
| River Plate | 29 /16 | 36.4 | 16% | 73% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Belgrano Cordoba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1780

River Plate · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2055
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Belgrano Cordoba: balanced profile (how Ricardo Alberto Zielinski plays) · River Plate: possession-based · creative (how Leonardo Ponzio plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.