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Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 7

Beerschot VA 5–1 Liège

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Olympisch Stadion, Antwerp

Beerschot VA crestBeerschot VATeam 1645
5–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Liège crestLiègeTeam 1341

Match story

Beerschot VA · draw · Liège

Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%

Live chances: Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0% at 90+2'2' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 66%, draw 20%, Liège 13%3' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 66%, draw 20%, Liège 13%4' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 66%, draw 20%, Liège 14%5' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 66%, draw 21%, Liège 14%6' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 66%, draw 21%, Liège 14%7' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 65%, draw 21%, Liège 14%8' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 65%, draw 21%, Liège 14%9' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 65%, draw 21%, Liège 14%10' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 65%, draw 22%, Liège 14%11' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 64%, draw 22%, Liège 14%12' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 64%, draw 22%, Liège 14%13' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 64%, draw 22%, Liège 14%14' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 64%, draw 22%, Liège 14%15' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 63%, draw 23%, Liège 14%16' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 63%, draw 23%, Liège 14%17' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 63%, draw 23%, Liège 14%18' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 62%, draw 23%, Liège 14%19' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 62%, draw 23%, Liège 14%20' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 62%, draw 24%, Liège 15%21' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 62%, draw 24%, Liège 15%22' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 61%, draw 24%, Liège 15%23' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 61%, draw 24%, Liège 15%24' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 61%, draw 25%, Liège 15%25' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 60%, draw 25%, Liège 15%26' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 60%, draw 25%, Liège 15%27' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 60%, draw 25%, Liège 15%28' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 60%, draw 25%, Liège 15%29' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 59%, draw 26%, Liège 15%30' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 59%, draw 26%, Liège 15%31' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 59%, draw 26%, Liège 15%32' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 58%, draw 27%, Liège 15%33' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 58%, draw 27%, Liège 15%34' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 57%, draw 27%, Liège 15%35' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 57%, draw 28%, Liège 15%36' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 57%, draw 28%, Liège 15%37' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 56%, draw 28%, Liège 15%38' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 56%, draw 29%, Liège 16%39' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 56%, draw 29%, Liège 16%40' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 55%, draw 29%, Liège 16%41' · 0–0 · Beerschot VA 55%, draw 30%, Liège 16%42' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 31%, draw 29%, Liège 40%43' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 31%, draw 29%, Liège 40%44' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 30%, draw 29%, Liège 41%45' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 30%, draw 29%, Liège 41%45+1' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 29%, draw 29%, Liège 42%45+2' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 28%, draw 29%, Liège 42%HT · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 27%, draw 30%, Liège 43%46' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 27%, draw 30%, Liège 43%47' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 27%, draw 30%, Liège 43%49' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 26%, draw 30%, Liège 45%50' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 25%, draw 30%, Liège 45%51' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 24%, draw 30%, Liège 46%52' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 23%, draw 30%, Liège 46%53' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 23%, draw 30%, Liège 47%54' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 22%, draw 30%, Liège 48%56' · 0–1 · Beerschot VA 20%, draw 30%, Liège 49%57' · 1–1 · Beerschot VA 45%, draw 39%, Liège 16%58' · 1–1 · Beerschot VA 44%, draw 40%, Liège 16%59' · 2–1 · Beerschot VA 84%, draw 13%, Liège 3%60' · 2–1 · Beerschot VA 84%, draw 13%, Liège 3%61' · 2–1 · Beerschot VA 84%, draw 13%, Liège 2%62' · 2–1 · Beerschot VA 85%, draw 13%, Liège 2%63' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%64' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%65' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%66' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%67' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%68' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%69' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 2%, Liège 0%70' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 1%, Liège 0%71' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 98%, draw 1%, Liège 0%72' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%73' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%74' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%75' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%76' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%77' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%79' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%80' · 3–1 · Beerschot VA 99%, draw 1%, Liège 0%82' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%83' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%84' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%85' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%86' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%87' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%88' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%89' · 4–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%90' · 5–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%90+1' · 5–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%90+2' · 5–1 · Beerschot VA 100%, draw 0%, Liège 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Beerschot VA 67% to win: they did.

  1. 40'Liège:Harrison Ondo-Eyi 1150 −8* assist Reno Wilmots 1528 −16*
  2. 45'Beerschot VA:Toshio Lake 1477 +26* for Mats Rits 1761 −8*
  3. 57'Beerschot VA:Anas Haj Mohamed 1606 +36* assist Genki Haraguchi 1745 +16*
  4. 57'Liège:Kylian Hazard 1458 −12* for Harrison Ondo-Eyi 1150 −8*
  5. 59'Beerschot VA:Arnold Vula Lamb Luth 1742 +24* assist Toshio Lake 1477 +26*
  6. 61'Liège:Nacim Dendani 1199 −8* for Reno Wilmots 1528 −16*
  7. 61'Liège:Kevin Shkurti 1371 −8* for Damien Mouchamps 1314 −10*
  8. 63'Beerschot VA:Arnold Vula Lamb Luth 1742 +24*
  9. 78'Beerschot VA:Dennis Gyamfi 1498 +1* for Milan Govaers 1491 +13*
  10. 78'Beerschot VA:Glenn Claes 1592 −10* for Anas Haj Mohamed 1606 +36*
  11. 81'Beerschot VA:Arnold Vula Lamb Luth 1742 +24* assist Lukas Van Eenoo 1726 +18*
  12. 82'Liège:Ousmane Camara 1393 −8* for Benoit Bruggeman 1491 −16*
  13. 82'Liège:Rambok Ryan Wesley Ogam 1137 −8* for Valentin Guillaume 1168 −8*
  14. 83'Beerschot VA:D'Margio Wright-Phillips 1642 +8*
  15. 87'Beerschot VA:Ensar Brahic 1209 −6* for Arnold Vula Lamb Luth 1742 +24*
  16. 87'Beerschot VA:Takatora Einaga 1562 −7* for D'Margio Wright-Phillips 1642 +8*
  17. 90'Beerschot VA:Dennis Gyamfi 1498 +1* assist Takatora Einaga 1562 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GO. Ravet1158−8*
FD. Mouchamps1314−10*
DE. N'jo1509−16*
DP. Ngawa1409−15*
DJ. D'Ostilio1453−16*
MR. Wilmots1528−16*
MS. Paulet1286−8*
MV. Guillaume1168−8*
MK. Ruiz-Atil1452−12*
MB. Bruggeman1491−16*
FH. Ondo-Eyi1150−8*
CG. Englebert1511−24*
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(Beerschot VA · draw · Liège)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 5–1 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Beerschot VA €571K, Liège €200K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Challenger Pro League): Beerschot VA ranked #3 of 15, Liège #13.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Beerschot VA

3rd in Challenger Pro League · 15 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWSporting Hasselt 1673
  • 11 SepWK. Lierse S.K. 1606
  • 4 SepWPatro Eisden 1576
  • 29 AugWRSC Anderlecht II 1579
  • 9 MayLLommel United 1665

Liège

10th in Challenger Pro League · 5 pts from 6

  • 19 SepLAS Eupen 1355
  • 13 SepDClub Brugge II 1393
  • 6 SepDK. Lierse S.K. 1408
  • 29 AugLDender 1409
  • 27 AprLLommel United 1515

Season outlook

From the Challenger Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Beerschot VA15 /653.928%94%0%2nd
Liège5 /629.80%1%45%14th
Beerschot VA
Liège

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Challenger Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Haraguchi
G. Haraguchi

Beerschot VA · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1729

R. Wilmots
R. Wilmots

Liège · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1544

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mohamed Messoudi

Coach DNA: –

Gaëtan Englebert

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Beerschot VA: balanced profile (how Mohamed Messoudi plays) · Liège: direct (how Gaëtan Englebert plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.