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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Allianz Arena, Munich

Bayern München crestBayern MünchenTeam 2553
6–1
Full time
HT 3–0
RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigTeam 2270

Match story

Bayern München · draw · RB Leipzig

Before kick-off: 67% · 18% · 15%

Live chances: Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Bayern München 67%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 15%2' · 0–0 · Bayern München 67%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 15%3' · 0–0 · Bayern München 67%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%4' · 0–0 · Bayern München 66%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%5' · 0–0 · Bayern München 66%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%6' · 0–0 · Bayern München 66%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%7' · 0–0 · Bayern München 66%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%8' · 0–0 · Bayern München 66%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%9' · 0–0 · Bayern München 65%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%10' · 0–0 · Bayern München 65%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%11' · 0–0 · Bayern München 65%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig 16%12' · 0–0 · Bayern München 65%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig 16%14' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 11%, RB Leipzig 6%15' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 11%, RB Leipzig 6%16' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 11%, RB Leipzig 6%17' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 11%, RB Leipzig 6%18' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 11%, RB Leipzig 6%19' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 6%20' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 6%21' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 6%22' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 6%23' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 5%24' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 5%25' · 1–0 · Bayern München 83%, draw 12%, RB Leipzig 5%26' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%27' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%28' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%29' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%30' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%31' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%33' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%34' · 2–0 · Bayern München 95%, draw 4%, RB Leipzig 1%36' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%37' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%38' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%39' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%40' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%41' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%42' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%43' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%44' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%45' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%45+1' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%45+2' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%45+3' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%HT · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%46' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%47' · 3–0 · Bayern München 99%, draw 1%, RB Leipzig 0%48' · 4–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%49' · 4–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%50' · 4–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%51' · 4–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%52' · 4–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%53' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%54' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%55' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%56' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%57' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%58' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%59' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%60' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%61' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%62' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%63' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%64' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%65' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%66' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%67' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%68' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%69' · 5–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%70' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%71' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%72' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%73' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%74' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%75' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%76' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%77' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%78' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%79' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%80' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%81' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%82' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%83' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%84' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%85' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%86' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%87' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%88' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%89' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%90' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%90+1' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%90+2' · 6–0 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%90+3' · 6–1 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%90+4' · 6–1 · Bayern München 100%, draw 0%, RB Leipzig 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bayern München 67% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Bayern München:Luis Díaz 2621 +19 assist Joshua Kimmich 2532 +25
  2. 26'Bayern München:Aleksandar Pavlović 2610 +14 assist Luis Díaz 2621 +19
  3. 34'Bayern München:Michael Olise 2664 +17 assist Harry Kane 2548 +12
  4. 45'RB Leipzig:Nicolas Seiwald 2316 −3 for Ezechiel Banzuzi 2059 0
  5. 45'RB Leipzig:Tidiam Gomis 1714 0 for Christopher Nkunku 2318 −4
  6. 47'Bayern München:Luis Díaz 2621 +19 assist Harry Kane 2548 +12
  7. 51'Bayern München:Konrad Laimer 2514 +5
  8. 52'Bayern München:Harry Kane 2548 +12 assist Nathaniel Brown 2234 +54
  9. 59'Bayern München:Tom Bischof 2308 +15 for Aleksandar Pavlović 2610 +14
  10. 59'Bayern München:Josip Stanišić 2601 +7 for Konrad Laimer 2514 +5
  11. 59'Bayern München:Lennart Karl 2325 +15 for Harry Kane 2548 +12
  12. 59'Bayern München:Serge Gnabry 2430 +1 for Ismael Saibari 2350 +10
  13. 59'RB Leipzig:Benjamin Henrichs 2153 −2 for Lukas Klostermann 2075 −2
  14. 60'RB Leipzig:Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz 2252 −1 for Antonio Nusa 2422 −7
  15. 69'Bayern München:Luis Díaz 2621 +19 assist Michael Olise 2664 +17
  16. 71'RB Leipzig:Andrija Maksimović 1915 0 for Rocco Reitz 2113 0
  17. 77'Bayern München:Sacha Boey 2243 −5* for Kim Min-Jae 2470 +9
  18. 90+1'RB Leipzig:Andrija Maksimović 1915 0 assist Brajan Gruda 2260 −6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-5-1
GJ. Urbig2428+33
DK. Laimer2514+5
DD. Upamecano2642+6
DKim Min-Jae2470+9
DN. Brown2234+54
MJ. Kimmich2532+25
MA. Pavlović2610+14
MM. Olise2664+17
MI. Saibari2350+10
ML. Díaz2621+19
FH. Kane2548+12
CV. Kompany2623+14
GM. Vandevoordt2295−11
DL. Klostermann2075−2
DW. Orbán2340−12
DC. Lukeba2361−7
DD. Raum2351−8
MB. Gruda2260−6
MR. Reitz21130
MN. El Aynaoui2373−8
ME. Banzuzi20590
MA. Nusa2422−7
FC. Nkunku2318−4
CM. Demichelis21630
Before kick-off: 67% · 18% · 15%(Bayern München · draw · RB Leipzig)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–1 (9%); the result 6–1 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bayern München €45.1M, RB Leipzig €23.4M.
  • Bundesliga: D. Upamecano was the highest-rated defender (2636).
  • Bayern München's expected eleven was in form: average +2.8 over 180 days.
  • Bayern München were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bayern München

3rd in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 5

  • 13 OctDViking 2468
  • 10 OctDFC Augsburg 2548
  • 18 SepWUnion Berlin 2566
  • 13 SepWSV Elversberg 2465
  • 10 SepWBodo/Glimt 2552

RB Leipzig

5th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 5

  • 13 OctWPSV Eindhoven 2287
  • 10 OctWEintracht Frankfurt 2229
  • 20 SepLBayer Leverkusen 2250
  • 13 SepWHamburger SV 2137
  • 10 SepLComo 2232

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bayern München11 /579.191%100%0%1st
RB Leipzig9 /559.01%58%0%4th
Bayern München
RB Leipzig

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich

Bayern München · +9.1 (Elite) · Elo 2507

W. Orbán
W. Orbán

RB Leipzig · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2352

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vincent Kompany

Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy

Martín Gastón Demichelis

Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bayern München: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Vincent Kompany plays) · RB Leipzig: dribble-heavy (how Martín Gastón Demichelis plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.