Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · BayArena, Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 27%, VfB Stuttgart 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bayer Leverkusen €24.1M, VfB Stuttgart €15.2M.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bayer Leverkusen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Bayer Leverkusen 2278 · VfB Stuttgart 2161
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bayer Leverkusen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2342
VfB Stuttgart · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2218
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bayer Leverkusen
4th in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 18 OctWSC Freiburg Bundesliga2282
- 15 OctWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2248
- 10 OctWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2262
- 20 SepWRB Leipzig Bundesliga2234
- 16 SepWCelje UEFA Europa League2226
VfB Stuttgart
13th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 17 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2213
- 14 OctWSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League2156
- 10 OctWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2183
- 19 SepLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2190
- 12 SepL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2147
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 13 /6 | 64.5 | 3% | 87% | 0% | 2nd |
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 /6 | 50.6 | 0% | 15% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bayer Leverkusen: possession-based · low-block (how Carles Martínez Novell plays) · VfB Stuttgart: possession-based · creative (how Sebastian Hoeneß plays)