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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenTeam 2312
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgTeam 2205

Match story

Bayer Leverkusen · draw · SC Freiburg

Before kick-off: 49% · 25% · 25%

Live chances: Bayer Leverkusen 95%, draw 5%, SC Freiburg 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%3' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%4' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%5' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%6' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%7' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%8' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%9' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%10' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 25%11' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 27%, SC Freiburg 25%12' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 27%, SC Freiburg 25%13' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 27%, SC Freiburg 25%14' · 0–0 · Bayer Leverkusen 48%, draw 27%, SC Freiburg 25%15' · 0–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 31%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 44%16' · 0–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 30%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 44%17' · 0–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 30%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 44%18' · 0–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 30%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 44%19' · 0–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 30%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 44%20' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 47%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 25%21' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 47%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 25%22' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 25%23' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 25%24' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%25' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%26' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%27' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 46%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%28' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%29' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 29%, SC Freiburg 25%30' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 30%, SC Freiburg 25%31' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 30%, SC Freiburg 25%32' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 30%, SC Freiburg 25%33' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 30%, SC Freiburg 25%34' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 31%, SC Freiburg 25%35' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 31%, SC Freiburg 25%36' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 31%, SC Freiburg 25%37' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 31%, SC Freiburg 25%38' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 43%, draw 32%, SC Freiburg 25%39' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 43%, draw 32%, SC Freiburg 25%40' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 43%, draw 32%, SC Freiburg 25%41' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 43%, draw 32%, SC Freiburg 25%42' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 42%, draw 33%, SC Freiburg 25%43' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 42%, draw 33%, SC Freiburg 25%44' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 42%, draw 33%, SC Freiburg 25%45' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 42%, draw 34%, SC Freiburg 25%45+1' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 34%, SC Freiburg 25%45+2' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 34%, SC Freiburg 25%45+3' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 25%45+4' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 25%45+5' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 25%HT · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 25%47' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 40%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 25%48' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 40%, draw 35%, SC Freiburg 24%49' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 40%, draw 36%, SC Freiburg 24%50' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 39%, draw 36%, SC Freiburg 24%51' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 39%, draw 37%, SC Freiburg 24%52' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 39%, draw 37%, SC Freiburg 24%53' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 38%, draw 38%, SC Freiburg 24%54' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 38%, draw 38%, SC Freiburg 24%55' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 37%, draw 39%, SC Freiburg 24%56' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 37%, draw 40%, SC Freiburg 23%57' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 36%, draw 40%, SC Freiburg 23%58' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 36%, draw 41%, SC Freiburg 23%59' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 36%, draw 41%, SC Freiburg 23%60' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 35%, draw 42%, SC Freiburg 23%61' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 35%, draw 43%, SC Freiburg 23%62' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 34%, draw 43%, SC Freiburg 22%63' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 34%, draw 44%, SC Freiburg 22%64' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 33%, draw 45%, SC Freiburg 22%65' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 33%, draw 46%, SC Freiburg 22%66' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 32%, draw 46%, SC Freiburg 21%67' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 32%, draw 47%, SC Freiburg 21%68' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 31%, draw 48%, SC Freiburg 21%69' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 31%, draw 49%, SC Freiburg 21%70' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 30%, draw 50%, SC Freiburg 20%71' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 29%, draw 51%, SC Freiburg 20%72' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 29%, draw 52%, SC Freiburg 20%73' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 28%, draw 53%, SC Freiburg 19%74' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 27%, draw 54%, SC Freiburg 19%75' · 1–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 27%, draw 55%, SC Freiburg 18%76' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 81%, draw 16%, SC Freiburg 3%77' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 82%, draw 16%, SC Freiburg 2%78' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 82%, draw 16%, SC Freiburg 2%79' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 83%, draw 15%, SC Freiburg 2%80' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 83%, draw 15%, SC Freiburg 2%81' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 84%, draw 14%, SC Freiburg 2%82' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 85%, draw 14%, SC Freiburg 2%83' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 85%, draw 13%, SC Freiburg 1%84' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 86%, draw 13%, SC Freiburg 1%85' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 87%, draw 12%, SC Freiburg 1%86' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 87%, draw 12%, SC Freiburg 1%87' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 88%, draw 11%, SC Freiburg 1%88' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 89%, draw 10%, SC Freiburg 1%89' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 90%, draw 9%, SC Freiburg 1%90' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 91%, draw 8%, SC Freiburg 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 92%, draw 7%, SC Freiburg 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 94%, draw 6%, SC Freiburg 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Bayer Leverkusen 95%, draw 5%, SC Freiburg 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 95% · 5% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bayer Leverkusen 49% to win: they did.

  1. 14'SC Freiburg:Derry Lionel Scherhant 2193 −10 assist Philipp Treu 2283 −6
  2. 19'Bayer Leverkusen:Ibrahim Maza 2312 +34 assist Patrik Schick 2343 +31
  3. 39'SC Freiburg:Philipp Treu 2283 −6
  4. 59'Bayer Leverkusen:Nathan Tella 2322 +4 for Afonso Moreira 2179 +12
  5. 64'SC Freiburg:Lukas Kübler 2067 −6 for Philipp Treu 2283 −6
  6. 65'SC Freiburg:Lucas Höler 2085 −4 for Keisuke Goto 1996 0
  7. 73'Bayer Leverkusen:Malik Tillman 2294 +3 for Moussa Diaby 2227 +13
  8. 76'Bayer Leverkusen:Patrik Schick 2343 +31 assist Ibrahim Maza 2312 +34
  9. 77'SC Freiburg:Patrick Osterhage 2170 −1 for Yannick Engelhardt 2193 −3
  10. 77'SC Freiburg:Cyriaque Irié 1737 0 for Jan-Niklas Beste 2247 −6
  11. 84'Bayer Leverkusen:Jonas Hofmann 1953 −5 for Ibrahim Maza 2312 +34
  12. 89'SC Freiburg:Vincenzo Grifo 2128 −6 for Derry Lionel Scherhant 2193 −10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Flekken2320+19
DJ. Quansah2434+8
DE. Tapsoba2370+10
DF. Medina2284+14
DMiguel Gutiérrez2266+15
MAleix García2342+10
ME. Fernández2304+13
MM. Diaby2227+13
MI. Maza2312+34
MAfonso Moreira2179+12
FP. Schick2343+31
CCarles Martínez2179+35
GM. Backhaus20140
DP. Treu2283−6
DM. Ginter2285−12
DP. Lienhart2307−23
DJ. Makengo2257−7
MM. Eggestein2290−11
MY. Engelhardt2193−3
MJ. Beste2247−6
MK. Goto19960
MD. Scherhant2193−10
FI. Matanović2309−9
CJ. Schuster2268−14
Before kick-off: 49% · 25% · 25%(Bayer Leverkusen · draw · SC Freiburg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bayer Leverkusen €24.9M, SC Freiburg €14.7M.
  • SC Freiburg were without 1 expected starter: Y. Suzuki (2263).
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Bundesliga): Bayer Leverkusen ranked #2 of 18, SC Freiburg #17.
  • Bayer Leverkusen were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • SC Freiburg were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bayer Leverkusen

4th in Bundesliga · 10 pts from 5

  • 15 OctWLech Poznan 2248
  • 10 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2262
  • 20 SepWRB Leipzig 2234
  • 16 SepWCelje 2226
  • 12 SepDFC Augsburg 2213

SC Freiburg

3rd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 5

  • 15 OctWFK Jablonec 2099
  • 11 OctWFC Schalke 04 2249
  • 19 SepDEintracht Frankfurt 2245
  • 12 SepWBorussia Mönchengladbach 2226
  • 5 SepWSC Paderborn 07 2222

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bayer Leverkusen10 /562.22%78%0%2nd
SC Freiburg13 /558.01%52%0%4th
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Aleix García
Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2332

M. Ginter
M. Ginter

SC Freiburg · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2297

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Carles Martínez Novell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Julian Schuster

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bayer Leverkusen: possession-based · creative (how Carles Martínez Novell plays) · SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays)