DFB-Pokal · Round of 32
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer LeverkusenTeam 22781. FC NürnbergTeam 1872Bayer Leverkusen host 1. FC Nürnberg on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (DFB-Pokal); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bayer Leverkusen 76%, draw 15%, 1. FC Nürnberg 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bayer Leverkusen €25.6M, 1. FC Nürnberg €1.9M.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (2124).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bayer Leverkusen goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.3 pts
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bayer Leverkusen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2310
1. FC Nürnberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bayer Leverkusen
4th in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 7
- 25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2320
- 22 OctWOFI UEFA Europa League2236
- 18 OctWSC Freiburg Bundesliga2282
- 15 OctWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2248
- 10 OctWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2262
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 18 pts from 9
- 24 OctL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1902
- 16 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1927
- 10 OctDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1935
- 19 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1933
- 11 SepWHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1908
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bayer Leverkusen: possession-based · creative (how Carles Martínez plays) · 1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays)