Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Bate Borisov host Torpedo Zhodino on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bate Borisov 36%, draw 29%, Torpedo Zhodino 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bate Borisov €189K, Torpedo Zhodino €211K.
- Home advantage makes Bate Borisov the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bate Borisov goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Bate Borisov 1352 · Torpedo Zhodino 1423
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bate Borisov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1358
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bate Borisov
13th in Premier League · 21 pts from 25
- 18 OctLFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1343
- 14 OctLNeman Belarus Premier League1352
- 10 OctWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1335
- 19 SepLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1332
- 13 SepDNaftan Belarus Premier League1333
Torpedo Zhodino
9th in Premier League · 33 pts from 25
- 19 OctWNaftan Belarus Premier League1417
- 15 OctLML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1446
- 10 OctWFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1415
- 20 SepLFC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1431
- 12 SepLNeman Belarus Premier League1455
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 21 /25 | 27.9 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 13th |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 33 /25 | 40.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –