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Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Bate Borisov 2–1 Slavia Mozyr

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Borisov Arena, Borisov

Bate Borisov crestBate BorisovTeam 1303
2–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Slavia Mozyr crestSlavia MozyrTeam 1370

Match story

Bate Borisov · draw · Slavia Mozyr

Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%

Live chances: Bate Borisov 100%, draw 0%, Slavia Mozyr 0% at 90+7'4' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 30%, Slavia Mozyr 34%5' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 30%, Slavia Mozyr 34%6' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 34%7' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 34%8' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 34%9' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 34%10' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 34%12' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 32%, Slavia Mozyr 34%13' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 32%, Slavia Mozyr 34%14' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 35%, draw 32%, Slavia Mozyr 34%15' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 32%, Slavia Mozyr 33%18' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 33%, Slavia Mozyr 33%19' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 33%, Slavia Mozyr 33%20' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 33%, Slavia Mozyr 33%21' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 33%, Slavia Mozyr 33%22' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 33%, Slavia Mozyr 33%23' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 34%, Slavia Mozyr 33%24' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 34%, draw 34%, Slavia Mozyr 33%25' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 33%, draw 34%, Slavia Mozyr 33%29' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 33%, draw 35%, Slavia Mozyr 32%30' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 33%, draw 35%, Slavia Mozyr 32%31' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 33%, draw 35%, Slavia Mozyr 32%32' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 33%, draw 36%, Slavia Mozyr 32%33' · 0–0 · Bate Borisov 32%, draw 36%, Slavia Mozyr 32%33' · 1–0 · Bate Borisov 67%, draw 22%, Slavia Mozyr 10%34' · 1–0 · Bate Borisov 67%, draw 22%, Slavia Mozyr 10%35' · 1–0 · Bate Borisov 67%, draw 22%, Slavia Mozyr 10%36' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 91%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%37' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 91%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%38' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 91%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%39' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 92%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%40' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 92%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%41' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 92%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 2%42' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 92%, draw 6%, Slavia Mozyr 2%43' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 92%, draw 6%, Slavia Mozyr 2%HT · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 93%, draw 6%, Slavia Mozyr 1%49' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 93%, draw 5%, Slavia Mozyr 1%50' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 94%, draw 5%, Slavia Mozyr 1%51' · 2–0 · Bate Borisov 94%, draw 5%, Slavia Mozyr 1%54' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 72%, draw 22%, Slavia Mozyr 6%55' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 72%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 6%56' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 73%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 6%57' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 73%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 6%58' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 73%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 6%62' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 75%, draw 20%, Slavia Mozyr 5%63' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 75%, draw 20%, Slavia Mozyr 5%64' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 76%, draw 20%, Slavia Mozyr 4%65' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 76%, draw 20%, Slavia Mozyr 4%66' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 76%, draw 19%, Slavia Mozyr 4%67' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 77%, draw 19%, Slavia Mozyr 4%68' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 77%, draw 19%, Slavia Mozyr 4%69' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 78%, draw 19%, Slavia Mozyr 4%70' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 78%, draw 18%, Slavia Mozyr 3%79' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 83%, draw 15%, Slavia Mozyr 2%80' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 84%, draw 14%, Slavia Mozyr 2%81' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 85%, draw 14%, Slavia Mozyr 1%82' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 85%, draw 13%, Slavia Mozyr 1%83' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 86%, draw 13%, Slavia Mozyr 1%84' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 87%, draw 12%, Slavia Mozyr 1%86' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 88%, draw 11%, Slavia Mozyr 1%87' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 89%, draw 10%, Slavia Mozyr 1%88' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 90%, draw 9%, Slavia Mozyr 1%89' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 91%, draw 9%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 93%, draw 7%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 94%, draw 6%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 95%, draw 4%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 97%, draw 3%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 98%, draw 2%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 99%, draw 1%, Slavia Mozyr 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Bate Borisov 100%, draw 0%, Slavia Mozyr 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Bate Borisov 36% to win: they did.

  1. 19'Slavia Mozyr:Ilya Rashchenya 1406 −17*
  2. 27'Bate Borisov:egor kress 1370 +14* assist erick puerto 1258 +34
  3. 36'Bate Borisov:Vladislav Varaksa 1477 +4* assist Yuriy Kovalev 1374 +8*
  4. 42'Slavia Mozyr:Pavel·Chikida 1361 for Dimitri Yashin 1439 −24*
  5. 42'Slavia Mozyr:Denis·Fedorenko 1175 for Ricky Stephane Ngatchou Kamtchouang 1261 −8*
  6. 50'Slavia Mozyr:Denis·Fedorenko 1175
  7. 50'Slavia Mozyr:Denis·Fedorenko 1175
  8. 70'Slavia Mozyr:Nikita Romanov 1137 for Terentiy Lutsevich 1310 −15*
  9. 70'Slavia Mozyr:Aleksandr Derzhinskiy 1246 for Evgeni Shevchenko 1406 −18*
  10. 83'Bate Borisov:yaroslav khramtsevich 1156 for Yuriy Kovalev 1374 +8*
  11. 87'Slavia Mozyr:Yuli Kuznetsov 1366 −12*
  12. 90+2'Slavia Mozyr:Vitaliy·Likhtin 1126 for Aleksandr Dzhigero 1398 −17*
  13. 90+3'Slavia Mozyr:Ivan Bionchik
  14. 90+4'Slavia Mozyr:Vitaliy·Likhtin 1126
  15. 90+4'Bate Borisov:Egor Rusakov 1379 for erick puerto 1258 +34

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-4-2
GE. Abramovich1429−18*
DRicky Ngatchou1261−8*
DA. Antilevskiy1423−17*
DK. Chernook1354−10*
DI. Rashchenya1406−17*
MN. Melnikov1429−18*
MY. Kuznetsov1366−12*
ME. Shevchenko1406−18*
MD. Yashin1439−24*
FA. Dzhigero1398−17*
FT. Lutsevich1310−15*
CI. Bionchik1441−19*
Before kick-off: 36% · 30% · 34%(Bate Borisov · draw · Slavia Mozyr)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bate Borisov €192K, Slavia Mozyr €193K.
  • Home advantage made Bate Borisov the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bate Borisov

14th in Premier League · 18 pts from 22

  • 19 SepLDinamo Minsk 1332
  • 13 SepDNaftan 1333
  • 7 SepLDinamo Brest 1358
  • 3 SepLFC Isloch Minsk R. 1377
  • 30 AugWFC Minsk 1352

Slavia Mozyr

10th in Premier League · 25 pts from 22

  • 19 SepLNaftan 1384
  • 11 SepLFC Minsk 1409
  • 4 SepWFC Vitebsk 1388
  • 29 AugLNeman 1399
  • 22 AugDFC Gomel 1384

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bate Borisov18 /2227.50%0%44%14th
Slavia Mozyr25 /2234.10%0%2%10th
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Kovalev
Y. Kovalev

Bate Borisov · -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1367

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vitaliy Rogozhkin

Coach DNA: –

Ivan Bionchik

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.