Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Bate Borisov 0–2 Neman
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Borisov Arena, Borisov
Bate BorisovTeam 1365NemanTeam 1445- Danu Spătaru 8'
- Andrija Ratkovic 77'
We gave Neman 36% to win: they did.
- 8'Danu Spătaru – assist Pavel Savitskiy –Neman:Danu Spătaru – assist Pavel Savitskiy –
- 29'Sherif Jimoh –Neman:Sherif Jimoh –
- 33'Andrey Vasiljev – for Sherif Jimoh –Neman:Andrey Vasiljev – for Sherif Jimoh –
- 37'Mikhail Kozlov –Neman:Mikhail Kozlov –
- Egor Rusakov – for Victorien Angban –45'Bate Borisov:Egor Rusakov – for Victorien Angban –
- 45'Andrey Yakimov – for Mikhail Kozlov –Neman:Andrey Yakimov – for Mikhail Kozlov –
- yaroslav khramtsevich – for Vladislav Varaksa –45'Bate Borisov:yaroslav khramtsevich – for Vladislav Varaksa –
- Luka Đorđević – for Ivan Mikhniuk –61'Bate Borisov:Luka Đorđević – for Ivan Mikhniuk –
- 62'Andrija Ratkovic – for Pavel Savitskiy –Neman:Andrija Ratkovic – for Pavel Savitskiy –
- 62'Anton Suchkov – for Danu Spătaru –Neman:Anton Suchkov – for Danu Spătaru –
- Marat Titov – for Yuriy Kovalev –69'Bate Borisov:Marat Titov – for Yuriy Kovalev –
- 77'Andrija Ratkovic – assist Andrey Yakimov –Neman:Andrija Ratkovic – assist Andrey Yakimov –
- vladislav yatskevich – for erick puerto –80'Bate Borisov:vladislav yatskevich – for erick puerto –
- 85'Yuri Pavlyukovets – for Oleg Evdokimov –Neman:Yuri Pavlyukovets – for Oleg Evdokimov –
Before kick-off (provisional): 35% · 29% · 36%(Bate Borisov · draw · Neman)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bate Borisov €182K, Neman €179K.
- Neman were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bate Borisov
13th in Premier League · 21 pts from 23
- 10 OctWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1335
- 19 SepLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1332
- 13 SepDNaftan Belarus Premier League1333
- 7 SepLDinamo Brest Belarus Premier League1358
- 3 SepLFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1377
Neman
5th in Premier League · 40 pts from 23
- 10 OctWBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1459
- 19 SepWFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1416
- 12 SepWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1393
- 6 SepDBelshina Belarus Premier League1441
- 29 AugWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1390
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 21 /23 | 30.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 11th |
| Neman | 40 /23 | 49.4 | <1% | 23% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bate Borisov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1374
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –