Premier League · Regular Season - 26
Bate Borisov vs Belshina
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Bate Borisov host Belshina on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bate Borisov 52%, draw 26%, Belshina 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bate Borisov €185K, Belshina €111K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bate Borisov goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bate Borisov 1348 · Belshina 1223
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bate Borisov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1358
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bate Borisov
13th in Premier League · 21 pts from 25
- 18 OctLFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1343
- 14 OctLNeman Belarus Premier League1352
- 10 OctWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1335
- 19 SepLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1332
- 13 SepDNaftan Belarus Premier League1333
Belshina
14th in Premier League · 21 pts from 23
- 10 OctLNaftan Belarus Premier League1246
- 18 SepWFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1206
- 12 SepDFC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1231
- 6 SepDNeman Belarus Premier League1196
- 2 SepDML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1190
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 21 /25 | 27.9 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 13th |
| Belshina | 21 /23 | 26.7 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –