Süper Lig · Regular Season - 10
Başakşehir vs Samsunspor
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Başakşehir host Samsunspor on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Başakşehir 51%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Başakşehir €2.8M, Samsunspor €1.7M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Başakşehir goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Başakşehir 1953 · Samsunspor 1862
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Başakşehir · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2039
Samsunspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1942
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Başakşehir
10th in Süper Lig · 11 pts from 8
- 18 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1916
- 11 OctDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1927
- 19 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1916
- 13 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig1958
- 4 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1970
Samsunspor
17th in Süper Lig · 4 pts from 8
- 18 OctLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1857
- 10 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1879
- 20 SepLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1887
- 12 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1929
- 6 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1892
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 11 /8 | 47.7 | 0% | 4% | 1% | 6th |
| Samsunspor | 4 /8 | 36.4 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Başakşehir: balanced profile (how Nuri Şahin plays) · Samsunspor: balanced profile (how Thorsten Fink plays)