Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Başakşehir vs Çorum FK
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Başakşehir host Çorum FK on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Başakşehir 44%, draw 28%, Çorum FK 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Başakşehir €2.8M, Çorum FK €3.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Başakşehir goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–07%
- 1–27%
- 2–27%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Başakşehir 1972 · Çorum FK 1967
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Başakşehir · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2028

Çorum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2063
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Başakşehir
8th in Süper Lig · 17 pts from 11
- 7 NovWGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1943
- 1 NovWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1922
- 26 OctLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1949
- 18 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1910
- 11 OctDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1920
Çorum FK
9th in Süper Lig · 16 pts from 11
- 8 NovLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig2027
- 31 OctWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1978
- 25 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig2026
- 16 OctWRizespor Turkey Super Lig2000
- 11 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1988
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 17 /11 | 50.8 | 0% | 4% | <1% | 6th |
| Çorum FK | 16 /11 | 49.3 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Başakşehir: balanced profile (how Nuri Şahin plays) · Çorum FK: balanced profile (how Tamer Sivrikaya plays)