League One · Regular Season - 16
Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Oakwell, Barnsley
Barnsley host Sheffield Wednesday on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Barnsley 31%, draw 29%, Sheffield Wednesday 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Barnsley €426K, Sheffield Wednesday €802K.
- Barnsley's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Barnsley's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Barnsley goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Barnsley 1670 · Sheffield Wednesday 1814
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Barnsley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1691
Sheffield Wednesday · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1704
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barnsley
23rd in League One · 9 pts from 12
- 31 OctDOxford United England League One1686
- 24 OctLReading England League One1690
- 20 OctLLuton England League One1676
- 17 OctLCambridge United England League One1674
- 10 OctLStockport County England League One1665
Sheffield Wednesday
9th in League One · 20 pts from 13
- 1 NovDBlackpool England League One1790
- 27 OctDCambridge United England League One1855
- 24 OctLDoncaster England League One1775
- 20 OctLNotts County England League One1838
- 17 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1796
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 9 /12 | 44.8 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 24th |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 20 /13 | 65.4 | 1% | 11% | 1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Barnsley: balanced profile (how Daniel Stendel plays) · Sheffield Wednesday: balanced profile (how Matthew Hamshaw plays)