League Two · Regular Season - 9
Barnet vs York
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The Hive Stadium, London
Barnet vs York (League Two) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: Barnet €311K, York €179K.
- York are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Barnet goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Barnet 1710 · York 1548
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1815
York · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1541
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 21 pts from 10
- 20 OctLSwindon Town England League Two1775
- 17 OctWTranmere England League Two1747
- 10 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1704
- 6 OctDAFC Wimbledon England EFL Trophy1544
- 19 SepWFleetwood Town England League Two1695
York
6th in League Two · 17 pts from 11
- 20 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1578
- 17 OctDNewport County England League Two1538
- 10 OctDNorthampton England League Two1570
- 26 SepWGillingham England League Two1507
- 22 SepDRotherham England EFL Trophy1417
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 21 /10 | 72.8 | 7% | 57% | <1% | 2nd |
| York | 17 /11 | 56.5 | 0% | 2% | 16% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based