FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Barnet vs Tranmere
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Hive Stadium, London
Barnet host Tranmere on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Barnet 55%, draw 25%, Tranmere 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Barnet €303K, Tranmere €192K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Barnet goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
Team Elo: Barnet 1726 · Tranmere 1594
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1838
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1677
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 25 pts from 12
- 27 OctWYork England League Two1739
- 24 OctDOldham England League Two1700
- 20 OctLSwindon Town England League Two1775
- 17 OctWTranmere England League Two1747
- 10 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1704
Tranmere
13th in League Two · 16 pts from 13
- 24 OctDCrawley Town England League Two1603
- 20 OctWNorthampton England League Two1565
- 17 OctLBarnet England League Two1540
- 10 OctDRochdale England League Two1552
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Barnet: balanced profile (how Dean Brennan plays) · Tranmere: balanced profile (how D. Clarke plays)