League Two · Regular Season - 16
Barnet vs Port Vale
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Hive Stadium, London
Barnet host Port Vale on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Barnet 43%, draw 28%, Port Vale 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Barnet €309K, Port Vale €365K.
- Barnet are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Barnet goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- 2–07%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Barnet 1722 · Port Vale 1702
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1811
Port Vale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1662
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 26 pts from 13
- 10 NovWLeyton Orient England EFL Trophy1558
- 7 NovWTranmere England FA Cup1720
- 31 OctDCrewe England League Two1765
- 27 OctWYork England League Two1734
- 24 OctDOldham England League Two1692
Port Vale
19th in League Two · 15 pts from 12
- 7 NovWScunthorpe England FA Cup1661
- 31 OctWRochdale England League Two1705
- 27 OctWManchester City U21 England EFL Trophy1652
- 24 OctLYork England League Two1641
- 20 OctDGillingham England League Two1707
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 26 /13 | 76.7 | 9% | 75% | 0% | 2nd |
| Port Vale | 15 /12 | 66.0 | <1% | 21% | 2% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Barnet: balanced profile (how Dean Brennan plays) · Port Vale: balanced profile (how J. Brady plays)