La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Barcelona 3–0 Getafe
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
BarcelonaTeam 2638
GetafeTeam 1893Match story
Barcelona · draw · GetafeBefore kick-off: 93% · 5% · 2%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Anthony Gordon 2'
- Gabriel Jesus 30'
- Jules Koundé 73'
We gave Barcelona 93% to win: they did.
- Anthony Gordon 2496 +52'
Barcelona:Anthony Gordon 2496 +5 - Gabriel Jesus 2429 −2*30'
Barcelona:Gabriel Jesus 2429 −2* - 34'Kiko Femenia 1859 −15*
Getafe:Kiko Femenia 1859 −15* - 37'Abdel Abqar 1975 −9* for Zaid Romero 2022 −9*
Getafe:Abdel Abqar 1975 −9* for Zaid Romero 2022 −9* - 45+2'Johan Mojica 2027 −15*
Getafe:Johan Mojica 2027 −15* - Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2720 046'
Barcelona:Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2720 0 - Fermín López 2659 +2 for Pablo Martín Páez Gavira 2518 −4*61'
Barcelona:Fermín López 2659 +2 for Pablo Martín Páez Gavira 2518 −4* - Pedri 2826 +1 for Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2720 061'
Barcelona:Pedri 2826 +1 for Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2720 0 - 65'Martin Satriano 2043 −8* for Iván Azón 1927 −8*
Getafe:Martin Satriano 2043 −8* for Iván Azón 1927 −8* - 65'David Cordón Mancha 1641 −8* for Johan Mojica 2027 −15*
Getafe:David Cordón Mancha 1641 −8* for Johan Mojica 2027 −15* - 65'Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf 1937 −8* for Andrés García 1909 −8*
Getafe:Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf 1937 −8* for Andrés García 1909 −8* - 71'Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf 1937 −8*
Getafe:Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf 1937 −8* - Marc Bernal 2293 −6* for Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante 2756 071'
Barcelona:Marc Bernal 2293 −6* for Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante 2756 0 - Karim Adeyemi 2422 −6* for Anthony Gordon 2496 +571'
Barcelona:Karim Adeyemi 2422 −6* for Anthony Gordon 2496 +5 - Jules Koundé 2671 +4 assist Lamine Yamal 2823 +373'
Barcelona:Jules Koundé 2671 +4 assist Lamine Yamal 2823 +3 - 75'Ramón Terrats 1936 −9*
Getafe:Ramón Terrats 1936 −9* - Hamza Abdelkarim 1478 −7* for Gabriel Jesus 2429 −2*82'
Barcelona:Hamza Abdelkarim 1478 −7* for Gabriel Jesus 2429 −2* - 85'Saba Sazonov 1845 0 for Kiko Femenia 1859 −15*
Getafe:Saba Sazonov 1845 0 for Kiko Femenia 1859 −15* - Fermín López 2659 +290+1'
Barcelona:Fermín López 2659 +2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 93% · 5% · 2%(Barcelona · draw · Getafe)
Our most likely score was 4–0 (9%); the result 3–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Barcelona €58.0M, Getafe €2.9M.
- Barcelona were without 2 expected starters: A. Christensen (2337) and Raphinha (2733).
- Largest team-Elo gap of La Liga matchday 8: 625 points.
- Draw chance was 8%, below the La Liga average of 24% this round.
- La Liga: Joan García was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2675).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barcelona
1st in La Liga · 21 pts from 7
- 19 SepWSevilla La Liga2614
- 16 SepWRacing Santander La Liga2611
- 13 SepWLevante La Liga2628
- 9 SepWFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2619
- 6 SepWValencia La Liga2619
Getafe
12th in La Liga · 8 pts from 7
- 20 SepWMalaga La Liga1940
- 17 SepLReal Betis La Liga1922
- 13 SepDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1964
- 7 SepDCelta Vigo La Liga1979
- 31 AugLOsasuna La Liga1977
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 21 /7 | 94.6 | 89% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Getafe | 8 /7 | 40.3 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Barcelona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2755

Getafe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2031
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Barcelona: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Hansi Flick plays) · Getafe: direct · aggressive (how José Bordalás Jiménez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.