Liga Pro · Championship Group - 3
Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil
Barcelona SCTeam 1652Universidad CatolicaTeam 1668- Erick Mendoza 90+5'
- Azarias Londono 65'
We gave Barcelona SC 40% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 19'Gregori Anangonó –Universidad Catolica:Gregori Anangonó –
- Tomás Rodríguez –19'Barcelona SC:Tomás Rodríguez –
- Jonathan Perlaza –62'Barcelona SC:Jonathan Perlaza –
- 65'Azarias Londono –Universidad Catolica:Azarias Londono –
- 71'Azarias Londono –Universidad Catolica:Azarias Londono –
- Johan Garcia –72'Barcelona SC:Johan Garcia –
- Luis Cano – for Darío Benedetto –73'Barcelona SC:Luis Cano – for Darío Benedetto –
- Jefferson Intriago – for Johan Garcia –73'Barcelona SC:Jefferson Intriago – for Johan Garcia –
- Sergio Díaz – for Damián Díaz –80'Barcelona SC:Sergio Díaz – for Damián Díaz –
- 81'Jonnathan Mina – for Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda –Universidad Catolica:Jonnathan Mina – for Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda –
- Erick Mendoza – for Jefferson Wila –81'Barcelona SC:Erick Mendoza – for Jefferson Wila –
- 81'Carlos Medina – for Mauro Díaz –Universidad Catolica:Carlos Medina – for Mauro Díaz –
- Matias Gonzalo Lugo –86'Barcelona SC:Matias Gonzalo Lugo –
- Byron Castillo – for Jonathan Perlaza –87'Barcelona SC:Byron Castillo – for Jonathan Perlaza –
- 90+1'Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo – for Eddy Mejia –Universidad Catolica:Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo – for Eddy Mejia –
- 90+1'Byron Palacios – for José Fajardo –Universidad Catolica:Byron Palacios – for José Fajardo –
- Erick Mendoza –90+5'Barcelona SC:Erick Mendoza –
Before kick-off (provisional): 40% · 29% · 31%(Barcelona SC · draw · Universidad Catolica)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Barcelona SC €478K, Universidad Catolica €609K.
- Home advantage made Barcelona SC the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Barcelona SC
6th in Liga Pro · 44 pts from 30
- 11 OctLLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 13 SepDDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1650
- 7 SepDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1693
- 3 SepWIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1662
- 30 AugLManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1645
Universidad Catolica
2nd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 11 OctLMacara Ecuador Liga Pro1723
- 20 SepLLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 15 SepWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1638
- 6 SepWDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1642
- 3 SepDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1632
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona SC | 44 /31 | 54.0 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7th |
| Universidad Catolica | 51 /32 | 61.1 | 0% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Barcelona SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1738
Universidad Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.6 (Elite) · Elo 1620
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Barcelona SC: balanced profile (how Pablo Trobbiani plays) · Universidad Catolica: possession-based · creative (how Diego Andrés Martínez Carrera plays)