Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 7
Bangkok United vs Uthai Thani
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Bangkok United host Uthai Thani on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bangkok United 53%, draw 26%, Uthai Thani 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bangkok United €285K, Uthai Thani €217K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Thai League 1 matchday 7: 141 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Thai League 1): Bangkok United rank #2 of 15, Uthai Thani #13.
- All 11 of Bangkok United's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- C. Wangthaphan, A. Doloh, W. Weidersjoe, Marcelo Djaló, Bruno Baio, M. Angha and C. Gomis (Uthai Thani) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bangkok United goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bangkok United 1563 · Uthai Thani 1422
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Uthai Thani from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bangkok United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1592
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bangkok United
6th in Thai League 1 · 9 pts from 5
- 18 OctLPort FC Thailand Thai League 11574
- 11 OctWLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11551
- 2 MayWAyutthaya FC Thailand Thai League 11538
- 8 AprWGamba Osaka AFC Cup1555
- 3 AprWSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11558
Uthai Thani
5th in Thai League 1 · 10 pts from 5
- 17 OctDRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11422
- 10 OctWRasi Salai United Thailand Thai League 11387
- 3 MayLPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11399
- 5 AprDNakhon Ratchasima FC Thailand Thai League 11421
- 14 MarLMuangthong United Thailand Thai League 11405
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 9 /5 | 54.1 | 11% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
| Uthai Thani | 10 /5 | 45.6 | 1% | 27% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bangkok United: possession-based · creative (how Totchtawan Sripan plays) · Uthai Thani: dribble-heavy (how Alexandre Torreira da Gama Lima Casado plays)