Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 9
Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya FC
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Bangkok United host Ayutthaya FC on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bangkok United 61%, draw 23%, Ayutthaya FC 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bangkok United €337K, Ayutthaya FC €162K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Thai League 1 matchday 9: 235 points.
- Thai League 1: P. Khammai is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1694).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bangkok United goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–011%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bangkok United 1546 · Ayutthaya FC 1311
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bangkok United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1694
Ayutthaya FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1383
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bangkok United
2nd in Thai League 1 · 16 pts from 8
- 8 NovWRasi Salai United Thailand Thai League 11537
- 31 OctWUthai Thani Thailand Thai League 11499
- 25 OctDPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11531
- 18 OctLPort FC Thailand Thai League 11574
- 11 OctWLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11559
Ayutthaya FC
3rd in Thai League 1 · 16 pts from 8
- 7 NovWPattani Thailand Thai League 11314
- 1 NovWSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11281
- 25 OctWRasi Salai United Thailand Thai League 11252
- 16 OctLLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11257
- 10 OctDBG Pathum United Thailand Thai League 11245
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 16 /8 | 55.2 | 19% | 85% | 0% | 2nd |
| Ayutthaya FC | 16 /8 | 42.2 | <1% | 10% | 3% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bangkok United: possession-based · creative (how Danny Invincibile plays) · Ayutthaya FC: balanced profile (how Jugkrit Siriwattanasart plays)