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1. Lig · Regular Season - 10

Bandırmaspor 1–1 Sivasspor

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · 17 Eylül Stadium, Balikesir

Bandırmaspor crestBandırmasporTeam 1592
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Sivasspor crestSivassporTeam 1569

Match story

Bandırmaspor · draw · Sivasspor

Before kick-off: 46% · 26% · 28%

Live chances: Bandırmaspor 6%, draw 90%, Sivasspor 5% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%2' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%3' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%4' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%5' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%6' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 28%7' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%8' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%9' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%10' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%11' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%12' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%13' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%14' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 45%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%15' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%16' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%17' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%18' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 28%, Sivasspor 28%19' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 28%20' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 28%21' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 27%22' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 27%23' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 27%24' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 27%25' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 27%26' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 27%27' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 27%28' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 30%, Sivasspor 27%29' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 31%, Sivasspor 27%30' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 31%, Sivasspor 27%31' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 31%, Sivasspor 27%32' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 31%, Sivasspor 27%33' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 32%, Sivasspor 27%34' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 32%, Sivasspor 27%35' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 32%, Sivasspor 27%36' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 32%, Sivasspor 27%37' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 33%, Sivasspor 27%38' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 33%, Sivasspor 27%39' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 33%, Sivasspor 27%40' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 34%, Sivasspor 27%41' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 34%, Sivasspor 26%42' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 39%, draw 34%, Sivasspor 26%43' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 39%, draw 35%, Sivasspor 26%44' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 39%, draw 35%, Sivasspor 26%45' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 39%, draw 35%, Sivasspor 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 36%, Sivasspor 26%45+2' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 36%, Sivasspor 26%45+3' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 37%, Sivasspor 26%45+4' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 37%, Sivasspor 26%HT · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 37%, Sivasspor 26%46' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 37%, draw 37%, Sivasspor 26%47' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 37%, draw 37%, Sivasspor 26%48' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 37%, draw 38%, Sivasspor 25%50' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 36%, draw 39%, Sivasspor 25%51' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 36%, draw 39%, Sivasspor 25%53' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 35%, draw 40%, Sivasspor 25%54' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 35%, draw 41%, Sivasspor 24%55' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 34%, draw 41%, Sivasspor 24%57' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 33%, draw 43%, Sivasspor 24%59' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 33%, draw 44%, Sivasspor 23%60' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 32%, draw 45%, Sivasspor 23%61' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 32%, draw 46%, Sivasspor 23%63' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 31%, draw 47%, Sivasspor 22%64' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 30%, draw 48%, Sivasspor 22%66' · 0–0 · Bandırmaspor 29%, draw 49%, Sivasspor 21%67' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 8%, draw 25%, Sivasspor 67%68' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 8%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 68%69' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 7%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 69%70' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 7%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 69%71' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 7%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 70%72' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 6%, draw 23%, Sivasspor 71%73' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 6%, draw 23%, Sivasspor 71%75' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 5%, draw 22%, Sivasspor 73%76' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 5%, draw 22%, Sivasspor 74%78' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 4%, draw 21%, Sivasspor 75%79' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 4%, draw 20%, Sivasspor 76%80' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 3%, draw 19%, Sivasspor 77%81' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 3%, draw 19%, Sivasspor 78%82' · 0–1 · Bandırmaspor 3%, draw 18%, Sivasspor 79%84' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 17%, draw 70%, Sivasspor 13%86' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 15%, draw 74%, Sivasspor 12%87' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 14%, draw 76%, Sivasspor 11%89' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 11%, draw 80%, Sivasspor 9%90' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 10%, draw 82%, Sivasspor 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 7%, draw 87%, Sivasspor 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Bandırmaspor 6%, draw 90%, Sivasspor 5%

Last reading, 90+3': 6% · 90% · 5%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bandırmaspor 46% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 13'Sivasspor:Ebrima Ceesay 1620 +3
  2. 62'Sivasspor:Burak Kapacak 1574 +1 for Ebrima Ceesay 1620 +3
  3. 62'Sivasspor:Cihat Celik 1666 −7* for Salih Kavrazlı 1369 +6
  4. 64'Bandırmaspor:Ali Ulgen 1719 −1 for Hakan Bilgiç 1535 −5
  5. 64'Bandırmaspor:Muhammed Gümüşkaya 1730 −1 for Enes Cinemre 1516 0
  6. 66'Sivasspor:Cihat Celik 1666 −7* assist Valon Ethemi 1737 +2
  7. 70'Bandırmaspor:Muhammet Harun Genc 951 −8* for Emirhan Ayhan 1476 0
  8. 70'Bandırmaspor:Gianni Bruno 1546 −14* for Kerem Dönertaş 1537 0
  9. 71'Bandırmaspor:Remi Mulumba 1711 −7
  10. 76'Sivasspor:Valon Ethemi 1737 +2
  11. 83'Bandırmaspor:Dame Bamba Seck 1414 0 for Tosin Kehinde 1649 −2
  12. 83'Bandırmaspor:Enes Aydın 1688 −3
  13. 87'Sivasspor:Clinton Duodu 1610 0 for Valon Ethemi 1737 +2
  14. 90+3'Sivasspor:Yılmaz Cin 1370 −7* for Oguzhan Aksoy 1430 +7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Alkan1615−6
DH. Bilgiç1535−5
DY. Kocatürk1659−2
DEnes Aydın1688−3
DLucas Lima1624−8
MK. Donertas15370
MR. Mulumba1711−7
ME. Çinemre15160
FEmirhan Ayhan14760
FRecep Yalın Dilek1704−1
FT. Kehinde1649−2
CErtuğrul Arslan15490
GG. Bakırbaş1671−4*
DM. Yıldırım1653+2
DT. Tuzlacik1360+8
DM. Çelik1595+5
DY. Kefkir1377+8
MOguzhan Aksoy1430+7
MM. Mohammed1871+2
ME. Ceesay1620+3
MS. Kavrazlı1369+6
MV. Ethemi1737+2
FR. Manaj1819+1
CIsmet Taşdemir1772+6
Before kick-off: 46% · 26% · 28%(Bandırmaspor · draw · Sivasspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bandırmaspor €236K, Sivasspor €362K.
  • Home advantage made Bandırmaspor the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (1. Lig): Bandırmaspor ranked #3 of 20, Sivasspor #18.
  • Sivasspor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bandırmaspor

9th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 9

  • 9 OctWVanspor FK 1570
  • 18 SepLÜmraniyespor 1645
  • 11 SepDSarıyer 1648
  • 5 SepWBoluspor 1622
  • 28 AugDPendikspor 1626

Sivasspor

12th in 1. Lig · 11 pts from 9

  • 9 OctWPendikspor 1588
  • 19 SepDKeçiörengücü 1591
  • 13 SepDMuğlaspor 1661
  • 6 SepWAntalyaspor 1613
  • 2 SepDMardin 1969 1651

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bandırmaspor13 /950.9<1%6%3%12th
Sivasspor11 /952.8<1%10%2%10th
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima

Bandırmaspor · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1632

M. Yıldırım
M. Yıldırım

Sivasspor · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1650

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ertugrul Arslan

Coach DNA: –

İsmet Taşdemir

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bandırmaspor: balanced profile (how Ertugrul Arslan plays) · Sivasspor: balanced profile (how İsmet Taşdemir plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.