1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Bandırmaspor host Fatih Karagümrük on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bandırmaspor 40%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bandırmaspor €245K, Fatih Karagümrük €570K.
- Home advantage makes Bandırmaspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bandırmaspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Bandırmaspor 1627 · Fatih Karagümrük 1670
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bandırmaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1648
Fatih Karagümrük · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1797
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bandırmaspor
10th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1644
- 13 OctDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 9 OctWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1570
- 18 SepLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1645
- 11 SepDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1648
Fatih Karagümrük
13th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 11
- 19 OctLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1607
- 15 OctLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1622
- 11 OctDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1680
- 19 SepWEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1646
- 13 SepDManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1686
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 14 /11 | 48.3 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 12th |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 13 /11 | 51.8 | 0% | 6% | 2% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bandırmaspor: balanced profile (how Ertugrul Arslan plays) · Fatih Karagümrük: balanced profile (how Aleksandar Stanojević plays)