Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Balzan FC vs Hibernians
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Balzan FC host Hibernians on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Balzan FC 33%, draw 29%, Hibernians 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Balzan FC €123K, Hibernians €196K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 11: 111 points.
- S. Arab and N. Pulis (Balzan FC) have not played for over 90 days.
- L. Brănescu, Charleston, B. Kristensen, K. Halabaku, A. Diakité, Pedrão, M. Lima, A. Attard, Miullen and D. Bonnici (Hibernians) have not played for over 90 days.
- Balzan FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Balzan FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Balzan FC 1261 · Hibernians 1372
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Hibernians from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hibernians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1572
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Balzan FC
9th in Premier League · 11 pts from 10
- 14 AugDMarsaxlokk Malta Premier League1270
- 3 MayDNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1258
- 27 AprDHibernians Malta Premier League1252
- 19 AprDZabbar St. Patrick Malta Premier League1267
- 13 AprWMelita Malta Premier League1260
Hibernians
8th in Premier League · 13 pts from 10
- 14 MarLNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1348
- 7 MarLGzira United Malta Premier League1358
- 28 FebDValletta FC Malta Premier League1377
- 22 FebLFloriana Malta Premier League1389
- 18 FebLHamrun Spartans Malta Premier League1470
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | 11 /10 | 12.3 | 0% | 0% | 37% | 10th |
| Hibernians | 13 /10 | 14.4 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –