Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Baltika 0–0 FC Rostov
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
BaltikaTeam 1724
FC RostovTeam 1678Match story
Baltika · draw · FC RostovBefore kick-off: 46% · 31% · 23%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
We gave Baltika 46% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Sergey Varatynov 1946 −1 for Eduardo Anderson 1752 060'
Baltika:Sergey Varatynov 1946 −1 for Eduardo Anderson 1752 0 - Maksim Petrov 1859 0 for Egor Golenkov 1751 −8*60'
Baltika:Maksim Petrov 1859 0 for Egor Golenkov 1751 −8* - 62'Ronaldo 1804 +1 for Ivan Komarov 1759 +2
FC Rostov:Ronaldo 1804 +1 for Ivan Komarov 1759 +2 - Chinonso Offor 1744 0 for Brayan Gil 1890 −174'
Baltika:Chinonso Offor 1744 0 for Brayan Gil 1890 −1 - Mikhail Ryadno 1673 0 for Eldar Ćivić 1849 −274'
Baltika:Mikhail Ryadno 1673 0 for Eldar Ćivić 1849 −2 - 77'Danila Prokhin 1675 +4
FC Rostov:Danila Prokhin 1675 +4 - 83'Imran Aznaurov 1536 +1 for Olakunle Olusegun 1739 +3
FC Rostov:Imran Aznaurov 1536 +1 for Olakunle Olusegun 1739 +3 - 83'Anton Shamonin 1320 −7* for Timur Suleymanov 1737 +3
FC Rostov:Anton Shamonin 1320 −7* for Timur Suleymanov 1737 +3 - Stefan Kovač 1698 −8* for Konstantin Shiltsov 1410 090'
Baltika:Stefan Kovač 1698 −8* for Konstantin Shiltsov 1410 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 31% · 23%(Baltika · draw · FC Rostov)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 13%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Baltika €1.7M, FC Rostov €1.2M.
- Baltika were without 1 expected starter: A. Mendel (1753).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Baltika
7th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 10
- 11 OctDAkhmat Russia Premier League1789
- 16 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1784
- 12 SepDFakel Russia Premier League1803
- 6 SepLLokomotiv Russia Premier League1805
- 30 AugWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1775
FC Rostov
13th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 10
- 9 OctWAkron Russia Premier League1712
- 17 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League1737
- 13 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1680
- 5 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1719
- 29 AugLFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1723
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 12 /10 | 39.7 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6th |
| FC Rostov | 11 /10 | 35.8 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Baltika · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1752

FC Rostov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1800
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Baltika: direct (how Andrey Talalaev plays) · FC Rostov: balanced profile (how Dmitri Kirichenko plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.