Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Baltika host Dinamo Makhachkala on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Baltika 60%, draw 23%, Dinamo Makhachkala 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Baltika €1.9M, Dinamo Makhachkala €657K.
- Dinamo Makhachkala's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Baltika goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Baltika 1765 · Dinamo Makhachkala 1575
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Baltika · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1752
Dinamo Makhachkala · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Average) · Elo 1617
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Baltika
8th in Premier Liga · 13 pts from 11
- 18 OctDFC Rostov Russia Premier League1770
- 11 OctDAkhmat Russia Premier League1789
- 16 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1784
- 12 SepDFakel Russia Premier League1803
- 6 SepLLokomotiv Russia Premier League1805
Dinamo Makhachkala
7th in Premier Liga · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDAkron Russia Premier League1567
- 10 OctLFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1593
- 17 SepLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1604
- 13 SepLAkhmat Russia Premier League1597
- 6 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1594
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 13 /11 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 6th |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 /11 | 29.8 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Baltika: balanced profile (how Andrey Talalaev plays) · Dinamo Makhachkala: direct · high-pressing (how Vadim Evseev plays)