Premiership · Regular Season - 12
Ballymena United 2–1 Crusaders FC
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Ballymena UnitedTeam 13302–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Crusaders FCTeam 1281- J. Archer 12'
- K. Lyons-Foster 55'
- D. Rocks 1'
We gave Ballymena United 45% to win: they did.
- 1'D. Rocks –Crusaders FC:D. Rocks –
- J. Archer –12'Ballymena United:J. Archer –
- S. Whiteside –32'Ballymena United:S. Whiteside –
- 46'O. Wardell – for J. Doherty –Crusaders FC:O. Wardell – for J. Doherty –
- K. Lyons-Foster –55'Ballymena United:K. Lyons-Foster –
- 61'E. Dunlop – for A. Reid –Crusaders FC:E. Dunlop – for A. Reid –
- 63'D. Rocks –Crusaders FC:D. Rocks –
- C. Allen –66'Ballymena United:C. Allen –
- 68'L. Anderson – for D. Rocks –Crusaders FC:L. Anderson – for D. Rocks –
- 74'K. Bond – for T. Maguire –Crusaders FC:K. Bond – for T. Maguire –
- 74'Crusaders FC:
- S. Murray – for S. Whiteside –81'Ballymena United:S. Murray – for S. Whiteside –
- I. Rutkowski –81'Ballymena United:I. Rutkowski –
- D. McCallion – for J. Hood –81'Ballymena United:D. McCallion – for J. Hood –
- 89'Crusaders FC:
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(Ballymena United · draw · Crusaders FC)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ballymena United €87K, Crusaders FC €93K.
- B. Wade, D. Toure, M. Clarke, D. McCallion, I. Rutkowski, D. McGeouch, F. Sule, K. Corbally and S. Murray (Ballymena United) had not played for over 90 days.
- J. Tuffey, F. Bryden, C. Bruce, S. Rough, L. Barr, K. Forsythe, E. Dunlop, J. Williamson, T. Maguire and L. Anderson (Crusaders FC) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ballymena United
8th in Premiership · 12 pts from 10
- 21 MarDCliftonville FC Northern Ireland Premiership1301
- 14 MarWCarrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premiership1247
- 7 MarDPortadown Northern Ireland Premiership1272
- 28 FebLLarne Northern Ireland Premiership1299
- 17 FebWCrusaders FC Northern Ireland Premiership1294
Crusaders FC
6th in Premiership · 15 pts from 11
- 29 AugWGlentoran Northern Ireland Premiership1222
- 28 AprWAnnagh United Northern Ireland Premiership1272
- 28 MarLCarrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premiership1251
- 21 MarDPortadown Northern Ireland Premiership1264
- 14 MarLGlenavon FC Northern Ireland Premiership1237
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 12 /10 | 43.5 | <1% | 9% | 8% | 6th |
| Crusaders FC | 15 /11 | 42.1 | 0% | 5% | 14% | 8th |
Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Jim Ervin
Coach DNA: –
Declan Caddell
Coach DNA: –