Championship · Regular Season - 15
Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Somerset Park, Ayr
Ayr Utd host Raith Rovers on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ayr Utd 44%, draw 28%, Raith Rovers 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ayr Utd €156K, Raith Rovers €124K.
- Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) have not played for over 90 days.
- J. Rae, D. Easton, J. Rowe, P. Hanlon, D. O'Connor, J. Doherty, L. Stevenson, A. Winter and J. Hamilton (Raith Rovers) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ayr Utd goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Ayr Utd 1362 · Raith Rovers 1356
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Ayr Utd from last season's line-ups (latest 27 March 2026); Raith Rovers from last season's line-ups (latest 27 March 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ayr Utd
7th in Championship · 12 pts from 11
- 29 AugDMorton Scottish Championship1344
- 27 MarLRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1349
- 14 MarDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1423
- 10 MarLQueen's Park Scottish Championship1407
- 3 MarDArbroath Scottish Championship1414
Raith Rovers
3rd in Championship · 21 pts from 12
- 27 MarWAyr Utd Scottish Championship1305
- 14 MarLDunfermline Scottish Championship1368
- 28 FebLRoss County Scottish Championship1379
- 10 JanLArbroath Scottish Championship1409
- 3 JanDAirdrie United Scottish Championship1426
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 12 /11 | 45.6 | 1% | 17% | 33% | 7th |
| Raith Rovers | 21 /12 | 53.3 | 5% | 61% | 5% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –