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Championship · Regular Season - 11

Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr Utd crestAyr UtdTeam 1360
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Partick crestPartickTeam 1452

We gave Ayr Utd 36% to win: Partick won.

  1. 35'Partick:O. Smyth –
  2. 45'Partick:O. Smyth – (pen.)
  3. 46'Ayr Utd:T. Hatton – for L. Dick –
  4. 56'Ayr Utd:L. McBeth –
  5. 57'Partick:S. Drozd –
  6. 62'Partick:A. Fitzpatrick – for E. Henderson –
  7. 65'Ayr Utd:J. Landers – for O. Stirton –
  8. 65'Ayr Utd:M. Rus – for O. Whyte –
  9. 69'Partick:T. Letsosa – for B. Stanway –
  10. 72'Ayr Utd:J. Murphy – for R. Lyon –
  11. 75'Partick:L. Ashcroft –
  12. 76'Partick:A. Samuel – for T. Watt –
  13. 76'Partick:E. Ingram – for S. Drozd –
  14. 76'Ayr Utd:K. Shanks – for E. Walker –
  15. 90'Partick:T. Letsosa –
  16. 90+1'Partick:A. Fitzpatrick –
  17. 90+3'Ayr Utd:
  18. 90+3'Partick:
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(Ayr Utd · draw · Partick)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the expected XI: Ayr Utd €141K, Partick €165K.
  • Home advantage made Ayr Utd the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
  • Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) had not played for over 90 days.
  • L. Ashcroft, R. Crawford and T. Watt (Partick) had not played for over 90 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Ayr Utd

7th in Championship · 12 pts from 10

  • 29 AugDMorton 1344
  • 27 MarLRaith Rovers 1349
  • 14 MarDQueen's Park 1423
  • 10 MarLQueen's Park 1407
  • 3 MarDArbroath 1414

Partick

3rd in Championship · 18 pts from 9

  • 29 AugDQueen's Park 1462
  • 25 MayLST Mirren 1442
  • 21 MayDST Mirren 1449
  • 15 MayWDunfermline 1483
  • 12 MayDDunfermline 1516

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Ayr Utd12 /1048.12%25%25%6th
Partick18 /961.142%90%<1%1st
Ayr Utd
Partick

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gary Naysmith

Coach DNA: –

Mark Wilson

Coach DNA: –