Championship · Regular Season - 11
Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Somerset Park, Ayr
Ayr UtdTeam 13600–1
Full time
HT 0–1
PartickTeam 1452- O. Smyth 45' (pen)
We gave Ayr Utd 36% to win: Partick won.
- 35'O. Smyth –
Partick:O. Smyth – - 45'O. Smyth – (pen.)
Partick:O. Smyth – (pen.) - T. Hatton – for L. Dick –46'
Ayr Utd:T. Hatton – for L. Dick – - L. McBeth –56'
Ayr Utd:L. McBeth – - 57'S. Drozd –
Partick:S. Drozd – - 62'A. Fitzpatrick – for E. Henderson –
Partick:A. Fitzpatrick – for E. Henderson – - J. Landers – for O. Stirton –65'
Ayr Utd:J. Landers – for O. Stirton – - M. Rus – for O. Whyte –65'
Ayr Utd:M. Rus – for O. Whyte – - 69'T. Letsosa – for B. Stanway –
Partick:T. Letsosa – for B. Stanway – - J. Murphy – for R. Lyon –72'
Ayr Utd:J. Murphy – for R. Lyon – - 75'L. Ashcroft –
Partick:L. Ashcroft – - 76'A. Samuel – for T. Watt –
Partick:A. Samuel – for T. Watt – - 76'E. Ingram – for S. Drozd –
Partick:E. Ingram – for S. Drozd – - K. Shanks – for E. Walker –76'
Ayr Utd:K. Shanks – for E. Walker – - 90'T. Letsosa –
Partick:T. Letsosa – - 90+1'A. Fitzpatrick –
Partick:A. Fitzpatrick – - 90+3'
Ayr Utd: - 90+3'
Partick:
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(Ayr Utd · draw · Partick)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ayr Utd €141K, Partick €165K.
- Home advantage made Ayr Utd the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) had not played for over 90 days.
- L. Ashcroft, R. Crawford and T. Watt (Partick) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ayr Utd
7th in Championship · 12 pts from 10
- 29 AugDMorton Scottish Championship1344
- 27 MarLRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1349
- 14 MarDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1423
- 10 MarLQueen's Park Scottish Championship1407
- 3 MarDArbroath Scottish Championship1414
Partick
3rd in Championship · 18 pts from 9
- 29 AugDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1462
- 25 MayLST Mirren Scotland Premiership1442
- 21 MayDST Mirren Scotland Premiership1449
- 15 MayWDunfermline Scotland Premiership1483
- 12 MayDDunfermline Scotland Premiership1516
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 12 /10 | 48.1 | 2% | 25% | 25% | 6th |
| Partick | 18 /9 | 61.1 | 42% | 90% | <1% | 1st |
Ayr Utd
Partick
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Gary Naysmith
Coach DNA: –
Mark Wilson
Coach DNA: –