Championship · Regular Season - 10
Ayr Utd 1–1 Dunfermline
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Somerset Park, Ayr
Ayr UtdTeam 13611–1
Full time
HT 0–0
DunfermlineTeam 1458We gave Ayr Utd 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 39'A. Amade –Dunfermline:A. Amade –
- 54'J. Cooper – (pen.)Dunfermline:J. Cooper – (pen.)
- K. Holt – assist O. Whyte –58'Ayr Utd:K. Holt – assist O. Whyte –
- 58'O. Adams –Dunfermline:O. Adams –
- R. Lyon –62'Ayr Utd:R. Lyon –
- 63'O. Shaw – for O. Adams –Dunfermline:O. Shaw – for O. Adams –
- B. Summers – for N. McAllister –66'Ayr Utd:B. Summers – for N. McAllister –
- J. Landers – for O. Stirton –77'Ayr Utd:J. Landers – for O. Stirton –
- M. Rus – for R. Lyon –78'Ayr Utd:M. Rus – for R. Lyon –
- J. Murphy – for E. Walker –78'Ayr Utd:J. Murphy – for E. Walker –
- 78'C. Morrison – for A. Tod –Dunfermline:C. Morrison – for A. Tod –
- 78'K. Bray – for A. Oyirwoth –Dunfermline:K. Bray – for A. Oyirwoth –
- O. Whyte –82'Ayr Utd:O. Whyte –
- 83'O. Shaw –Dunfermline:O. Shaw –
- 90+2'Dunfermline:
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(Ayr Utd · draw · Dunfermline)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ayr Utd €143K, Dunfermline €180K.
- Home advantage made Ayr Utd the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) had not played for over 90 days.
- B. Terrell, C. Morrison, O. Thomas, A. Amade, Unknown (539149), R. Fraser, F. Turley and A. Tod (Dunfermline) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ayr Utd
6th in Championship · 11 pts from 9
- 29 AugDMorton Scottish Championship1344
- 27 MarLRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1349
- 14 MarDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1423
- 10 MarLQueen's Park Scottish Championship1407
- 3 MarDArbroath Scottish Championship1414
Dunfermline
5th in Championship · 12 pts from 7
- 15 MayLPartick Scotland Premiership1488
- 12 MayDPartick Scotland Premiership1507
- 8 MayDArbroath Scotland Premiership1465
- 5 MayWArbroath Scotland Premiership1482
- 14 MarWRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1491
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 11 /9 | 48.2 | 2% | 26% | 24% | 7th |
| Dunfermline | 12 /7 | 59.2 | 32% | 83% | 1% | 1st |
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Gary Naysmith
Coach DNA: –
Neil Francis Lennon
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based