Serie B · Regular Season - 10
Avellino vs Pisa
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Avellino host Pisa on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Avellino 37%, draw 29%, Pisa 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Avellino €1.0M, Pisa €2.1M.
- Home advantage makes Avellino the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Avellino goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Avellino 1741 · Pisa 1819
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Avellino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1704
Pisa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1986
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Avellino
7th in Serie B · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctDCesena Italy Serie B1782
- 9 OctWSampdoria Italy Serie B1749
- 19 SepLAscoli Italy Serie B1740
- 13 SepDPalermo Italy Serie B1701
- 6 SepWModena Italy Serie B1694
Pisa
3rd in Serie B · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctWCremonese Italy Serie B1811
- 10 OctWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1793
- 20 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1785
- 15 SepLFiorentina Italy Coppa Italia1780
- 11 SepLVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1825
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 11 /7 | 55.9 | 1% | 25% | 1% | 6th |
| Pisa | 13 /7 | 63.7 | 5% | 68% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Avellino: balanced profile (how Alessandro Nesta plays) · Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays)