Serie B · Regular Season - 34
Avai 0–0 Athletic Club
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis
AvaiTeam 1642Athletic ClubTeam 1667We gave Avai 44% to win: it ended in a draw.
- João Vitor –7'Avai:João Vitor –
- 7'José Carlos Cracco Neto –Athletic Club:José Carlos Cracco Neto –
- 31'João Miguel –Athletic Club:João Miguel –
- Douglas da Silva Teixeira –34'Avai:Douglas da Silva Teixeira –
- Wenderson –40'Avai:Wenderson –
- Felipe Vizeu – for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira –45'Avai:Felipe Vizeu – for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira –
- 65'Dixon Vera – for Yago Santos de Andrade –Athletic Club:Dixon Vera – for Yago Santos de Andrade –
- Paulo Vitor – for Luiz Henrique –65'Avai:Paulo Vitor – for Luiz Henrique –
- 66'Wilinton Aponza Carabali – for Carlos Moisés de Lima –Athletic Club:Wilinton Aponza Carabali – for Carlos Moisés de Lima –
- Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho – for Wenderson –66'Avai:Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho – for Wenderson –
- 78'Pedro Henrique de Oliveira – for Kauan Rodrigues da Silva –Athletic Club:Pedro Henrique de Oliveira – for Kauan Rodrigues da Silva –
- Wallison – for João Vitor –82'Avai:Wallison – for João Vitor –
- 84'Yarlen Faustino Augusto – for Maswel Ananias Silva –Athletic Club:Yarlen Faustino Augusto – for Maswel Ananias Silva –
- 84'Enzo Henrique dos Santos – for José Carlos Cracco Neto –Athletic Club:Enzo Henrique dos Santos – for José Carlos Cracco Neto –
- William – for Douglas da Silva Teixeira –90'Avai:William – for Douglas da Silva Teixeira –
Before kick-off (provisional): 44% · 28% · 28%(Avai · draw · Athletic Club)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Avai €397K, Athletic Club €428K.
- Home advantage made Avai the favourite: it added 11 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Avai
17th in Serie B · 36 pts from 33
- 11 OctWCuiaba Brazil Serie B1624
- 7 OctWLondrina Brazil Serie B1600
- 3 OctLCeara Brazil Serie B1564
- 27 SepLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1619
- 20 SepLGoias Brazil Serie B1617
Athletic Club
14th in Serie B · 43 pts from 33
- 13 OctDLondrina Brazil Serie B1684
- 6 OctLGoias Brazil Serie B1694
- 1 OctLSport Recife Brazil Serie B1655
- 27 SepDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1690
- 19 SepDBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1694
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 36 /33 | 43.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 17th |
| Athletic Club | 43 /33 | 49.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Avai · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1622
Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1729
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Avai: balanced profile (how Allan Rodrigo Aal plays) · Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Alexsandro de Souza plays)