Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
Auxerre vs Paris FC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre host Paris FC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Auxerre 26%, draw 28%, Paris FC 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Auxerre €3.8M, Paris FC €5.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Auxerre goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Auxerre 1886 · Paris FC 2103
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Auxerre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2038
Paris FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2205
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Auxerre
12th in Ligue 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctWLe Havre Ligue 11913
- 11 OctLRennes Ligue 11916
- 20 SepWStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11890
- 12 SepWNice Ligue 11862
- 4 SepLLyon Ligue 11840
Paris FC
3rd in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 7
- 18 OctWRennes Ligue 12099
- 10 OctLLorient Ligue 12111
- 19 SepWStrasbourg Ligue 12092
- 12 SepDLyon Ligue 12086
- 6 SepWMarseille Ligue 12051
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 9 /7 | 39.8 | 0% | <1% | 8% | 11th |
| Paris FC | 14 /7 | 58.8 | <1% | 50% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Auxerre: balanced profile (how William Still plays) · Paris FC: possession-based (how L. Rosenior plays)