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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Austria Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Generali Arena, Vienna

Austria Vienna crestAustria ViennaTeam 1672
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazTeam 1792

Match story

Austria Vienna · draw · Sturm Graz

Before kick-off: 32% · 30% · 39%

Live chances: Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 39%3' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 39%4' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 38%5' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 38%6' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 38%7' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 32%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 38%8' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 38%9' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 38%11' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 38%12' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 38%13' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 38%14' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%15' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%16' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%17' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%18' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%19' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 37%21' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 33%, Sturm Graz 37%22' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 31%, draw 33%, Sturm Graz 36%23' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 33%, Sturm Graz 36%24' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 33%, Sturm Graz 36%25' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 34%, Sturm Graz 36%26' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 34%, Sturm Graz 36%27' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 34%, Sturm Graz 36%28' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 34%, Sturm Graz 36%29' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 35%, Sturm Graz 35%30' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 35%, Sturm Graz 35%31' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 35%, Sturm Graz 35%33' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 30%, draw 36%, Sturm Graz 35%34' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 36%, Sturm Graz 35%35' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 36%, Sturm Graz 35%36' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 36%, Sturm Graz 34%37' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 37%, Sturm Graz 34%38' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 37%, Sturm Graz 34%39' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 37%, Sturm Graz 34%40' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 38%, Sturm Graz 34%41' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 29%, draw 38%, Sturm Graz 33%42' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 38%, Sturm Graz 33%43' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 39%, Sturm Graz 33%44' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 39%, Sturm Graz 33%45' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 39%, Sturm Graz 33%45+1' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 40%, Sturm Graz 32%45+2' · 0–0 · Austria Vienna 28%, draw 40%, Sturm Graz 32%45+3' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 67%HT · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 68%46' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 68%47' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 68%48' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 68%49' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 9%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 68%50' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 8%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 69%51' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 8%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 69%52' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 8%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 69%53' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 8%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 69%54' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 8%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 70%55' · 0–1 · Austria Vienna 7%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 70%56' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 5%, Sturm Graz 94%57' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 5%, Sturm Graz 95%58' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 5%, Sturm Graz 95%59' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 95%60' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 95%61' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 95%62' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 95%63' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 96%64' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 1%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 96%65' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 4%, Sturm Graz 96%66' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 96%67' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 96%68' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 97%69' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 97%70' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 97%71' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 97%72' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 3%, Sturm Graz 97%73' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 97%74' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%75' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%76' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%77' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%78' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%79' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 2%, Sturm Graz 98%80' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 98%81' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%82' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%83' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%84' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%85' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%86' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%87' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%88' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 1%, Sturm Graz 99%89' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Austria Vienna 0%, draw 0%, Sturm Graz 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sturm Graz 39% to win: they did.

  1. 45+1'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1823 +33* assist Luca Weinhandl 1835 +51*
  2. 55'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1823 +33* (pen.)
  3. 64'Sturm Graz:Axel Kayombo 1454 +6* for Oumar Diakité 1823 +33*
  4. 64'Austria Vienna:Julian Hettwer 1707 −9* for ibrahim buhari 1706 −10*
  5. 64'Austria Vienna:Vasilije Markovic 1496 −8* for Philipp Maybach 1691 −9*
  6. 66'Sturm Graz:Luca Weinhandl 1835 +51*
  7. 77'Austria Vienna:Daniel Nnodim 1548 −8*
  8. 77'Austria Vienna:Stephan Helm
  9. 79'Sturm Graz:Julian Halwachs 1348 −1* for Jon Gorenc Stanković 1930 +1*
  10. 80'Austria Vienna:Kelvin Owusu Boateng 1556 −8* for Sanel Saljic 1653 −8*
  11. 80'Austria Vienna:Lee Tae-seok 1827 −9* for Daniel Nnodim 1548 −8*
  12. 86'Austria Vienna:Florian Wustinger – for Manfred Fischer 1744 −19*
  13. 86'Sturm Graz:Petar Petrović 1554 −6* for Jacob Peter Hödl 1851 +10*
  14. 90'Sturm Graz:Luis Balbo 1823 +13*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GS. Şahin-Radlinger1744−34*
DJ. Handl1766−19*
DA. Dragović1719−21*
DI. Buhari1706−10*
MR. Ranftl1698−19*
MV. Müller1605−8*
MPhilipp Maybach1691−9*
MDaniel Nnodim1548−8*
MM. Fischer1744−19*
MS. Saljic1653−8*
FJ. Eggestein1759−18*
CS. Helm1755−26*
GD. Khudyakov1950+4*
DA. Malic1888+33*
DJ. Quarshie1901+7*
DP. Koller1885+8*
DL. Balbo1823+13*
MLuca Weinhandl1835+51*
MJ. Gorenc Stankovič1930+1*
MJacob Peter Hödl1851+10*
MS. Seidl1842+11*
MV. Matoshi1835+20
FO. Diakité1823+33*
CF. Ingolitsch1932+17*
Before kick-off: 32% · 30% · 39%(Austria Vienna · draw · Sturm Graz)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Austria Vienna €845K, Sturm Graz €1.8M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Austria Vienna

10th in Bundesliga · 7 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDGrazer AK 1704
  • 13 SepWAustria Lustenau 1693
  • 2 SepLWSG Wattens 1691
  • 30 AugLRed Bull Salzburg 1679
  • 27 AugDSC Braga 1720

Sturm Graz

4th in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 7

  • 20 SepLRed Bull Salzburg 1835
  • 16 SepDRennes 1832
  • 13 SepWLask Linz 1870
  • 30 AugLRapid Vienna 1809
  • 22 AugDAustria Lustenau 1806

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Austria Vienna7 /727.60%8%16%6th
Sturm Graz11 /736.63%75%1%4th
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Ranftl
R. Ranftl

Austria Vienna · +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1717

J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič

Sturm Graz · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1929

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stephan Helm

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Fabio Ingolitsch

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Austria Vienna: balanced profile (how Stephan Helm plays) · Sturm Graz: balanced profile (how Fabio Ingolitsch plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.