Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13
Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Generali Arena, Vienna
Austria Vienna host Red Bull Salzburg on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Austria Vienna 20%, draw 25%, Red Bull Salzburg 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Austria Vienna €740K, Red Bull Salzburg €2.4M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Bundesliga matchday 13: 312 points.
- Bundesliga: K. Boma is the highest-rated defender (2037).
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Austria Vienna rank #10 of 12, Red Bull Salzburg #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Austria Vienna goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–29%
- 1–36%
- 2–26%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Austria Vienna 1654 · Red Bull Salzburg 1966
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Vienna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1692
Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2037
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austria Vienna
11th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 12
- 8 NovDWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1625
- 1 NovLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1655
- 23 OctLSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1670
- 17 OctLRied Austrian Bundesliga1671
- 10 OctLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1695
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd in Bundesliga · 30 pts from 12
- 8 NovWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1928
- 5 NovLAnderlecht UEFA Europa League1935
- 1 NovWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1940
- 25 OctWLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1935
- 22 OctDCelje UEFA Europa League1924
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 8 /12 | 20.4 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 10th |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 30 /12 | 50.0 | 49% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Austria Vienna: balanced profile (how Stephan Helm plays) · Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays)