Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Generali Arena, Vienna
Austria Vienna host Rapid Vienna on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Austria Vienna 30%, draw 29%, Rapid Vienna 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Austria Vienna €753K, Rapid Vienna €1.3M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Austria Vienna rank #10 of 12, Rapid Vienna #2.
- Rapid Vienna's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Austria Vienna goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Austria Vienna 1684 · Rapid Vienna 1832
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Vienna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1736
Rapid Vienna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 1951
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austria Vienna
10th in Bundesliga · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctLRied Austrian Bundesliga1683
- 10 OctLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1708
- 19 SepDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1704
- 13 SepWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1693
- 2 SepLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1691
Rapid Vienna
1st in Bundesliga · 24 pts from 9
- 16 OctWTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1885
- 11 OctWLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1852
- 18 SepWWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1832
- 12 SepWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1749
- 2 SepLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1807
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 7 /9 | 24.0 | 0% | 1% | 32% | 9th |
| Rapid Vienna | 24 /9 | 45.8 | 39% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Austria Vienna: balanced profile (how Stephan Helm plays) · Rapid Vienna: balanced profile (how Johannes Hoff Thorup plays)