2. Liga · Regular Season - 10
Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg
Austria Salzburg host FC BW Linz on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (2. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Austria Salzburg 34%, draw 29%, FC BW Linz 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Austria Salzburg €276K, FC BW Linz €347K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Austria Salzburg goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Austria Salzburg 1463 · FC BW Linz 1559
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1600
FC BW Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1664
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austria Salzburg
4th in 2. Liga · 16 pts from 9
- 16 OctWWacker Innsbruck Austria 2 Liga1456
- 19 SepLVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1429
- 28 AugLSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1484
- 21 AugWSV Kapfenberg Austria 2 Liga1485
- 8 AugWFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1475
FC BW Linz
1st in 2. Liga · 22 pts from 9
- 17 OctWFC Liefering Austria 2 Liga1565
- 9 OctDSKU Amstetten Austria 2 Liga1558
- 18 SepWAdmira Wacker Austria 2 Liga1516
- 28 AugLSV Kapfenberg Austria 2 Liga1535
- 23 AugWVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1514
Season outlook
From the 2. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Salzburg | 16 /9 | 47.0 | 4% | 43% | <1% | 4th |
| FC BW Linz | 22 /9 | 57.9 | 61% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile