Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Austria Lustenau 0–4 Lask Linz
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Austria LustenauTeam 1507
Lask LinzTeam 1882Match story
Austria Lustenau · draw · Lask LinzBefore kick-off: 17% · 22% · 61%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Sasa Kalajdzic 56'
- Samuel Adeniran 64'
- Christoph Lang 88' (pen)
- Christoph Lang 90+4'
We gave Lask Linz 61% to win: they did.
- Danilo Soares 1602 −1416'
Austria Lustenau:Danilo Soares 1602 −14 - 56'Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19 assist Melayro Bogarde 1982 +14
Lask Linz:Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19 assist Melayro Bogarde 1982 +14 - 57'Florian Flecker 1669 +11
Lask Linz:Florian Flecker 1669 +11 - 64'Samuel Adeniran 1975 +17 assist Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19
Lask Linz:Samuel Adeniran 1975 +17 assist Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19 - 65'Andres Andrade 1961 +1 for Melayro Bogarde 1982 +14
Lask Linz:Andres Andrade 1961 +1 for Melayro Bogarde 1982 +14 - 65'Kasper Jorgensen 1962 +2 for Florian Flecker 1669 +11
Lask Linz:Kasper Jorgensen 1962 +2 for Florian Flecker 1669 +11 - 65'Xavier Mbuyamba 1952 +3 for João Victor Tornich 1951 +17
Lask Linz:Xavier Mbuyamba 1952 +3 for João Victor Tornich 1951 +17 - Albin Gashi 1496 −2 for Alieu Conateh 1389 067'
Austria Lustenau:Albin Gashi 1496 −2 for Alieu Conateh 1389 0 - Seydou Diarra 1545 0 for Matthias Maak 1399 −668'
Austria Lustenau:Seydou Diarra 1545 0 for Matthias Maak 1399 −6 - 76'Christoph Lang 1819 +5 for Samuel Adeniran 1975 +17
Lask Linz:Christoph Lang 1819 +5 for Samuel Adeniran 1975 +17 - Precious Benjamin 1679 −9* for Antonio Verinac 1272 077'
Austria Lustenau:Precious Benjamin 1679 −9* for Antonio Verinac 1272 0 - Emmanuel Chukwu 1554 −8* for Niklas Pertlwieser 1563 −277'
Austria Lustenau:Emmanuel Chukwu 1554 −8* for Niklas Pertlwieser 1563 −2 - 84'Naël Mamadou Lamine Kane 1507 +2 for Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19
Lask Linz:Naël Mamadou Lamine Kane 1507 +2 for Sasa Kalajdzic 1965 +19 - 88'Christoph Lang 1819 +5 (pen.)
Lask Linz:Christoph Lang 1819 +5 (pen.) - Pius Grabher 1442 −5 for Lord Afrifa 1486 089'
Austria Lustenau:Pius Grabher 1442 −5 for Lord Afrifa 1486 0 - 90+4'Christoph Lang 1819 +5 assist Robert Ljubicic 2018 +16
Lask Linz:Christoph Lang 1819 +5 assist Robert Ljubicic 2018 +16
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 17% · 22% · 61%(Austria Lustenau · draw · Lask Linz)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 0–4 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Austria Lustenau €304K, Lask Linz €1.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Bundesliga matchday 9: 357 points.
- Style contrast in possession (Bundesliga): Austria Lustenau ranked #12 of 12, Lask Linz #2.
- Lask Linz's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austria Lustenau
8th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 8
- 11 OctLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1534
- 19 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1482
- 13 SepLAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1493
- 28 AugLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1486
- 22 AugDSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1485
Lask Linz
3rd in Bundesliga · 16 pts from 8
- 14 OctLLiverpool UEFA Champions League1887
- 11 OctLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1974
- 20 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1948
- 13 SepLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1978
- 8 SepLAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League1996
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 8 /8 | 20.7 | 0% | <1% | 68% | 12th |
| Lask Linz | 16 /8 | 41.3 | 15% | 96% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Lustenau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1536

Lask Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1975
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Austria Lustenau: direct (how Markus Mader plays) · Lask Linz: possession-based (how Dietmar Kühbauer plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.