Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12
Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Austria Lustenau host Grazer AK on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Austria Lustenau 29%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Austria Lustenau €320K, Grazer AK €522K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Bundesliga): Austria Lustenau rank #3 of 12, Grazer AK #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Austria Lustenau goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Austria Lustenau 1525 · Grazer AK 1684
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austria Lustenau · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1536
Grazer AK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1740
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austria Lustenau
9th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1490
- 11 OctLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1534
- 19 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1482
- 13 SepLAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1493
- 28 AugLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1486
Grazer AK
8th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 9
- 18 OctLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1694
- 10 OctDRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1695
- 19 SepDAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1703
- 12 SepWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1630
- 29 AugDWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1670
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 8 /9 | 19.3 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 12th |
| Grazer AK | 9 /9 | 26.2 | 0% | 2% | 20% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Austria Lustenau: direct (how Markus Mader plays) · Grazer AK: direct (how Gerald Scheiblehner plays)