Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Austin vs Real Salt Lake
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Q2 Stadium, Austin
Austin host Real Salt Lake on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Austin 47%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Austin €1.9M, Real Salt Lake €1.2M.
- Style contrast in attacking (MLS): Austin rank #30 of 30, Real Salt Lake #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Austin goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Austin 1844 · Real Salt Lake 1816
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Austin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Average) · Elo 1969
Real Salt Lake · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Austin
14th in MLS · 31 pts from 30
- 18 OctLVancouver Whitecaps MLS1891
- 15 OctLLos Angeles FC MLS1921
- 11 OctLNashville SC MLS1878
- 27 SepDSan Diego MLS1875
- 20 SepDFC Dallas MLS1861
Real Salt Lake
10th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 18 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1809
- 15 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1810
- 10 OctLPhiladelphia Union MLS1838
- 27 SepWNew England Revolution MLS1803
- 24 SepLSeattle Sounders MLS1801
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | 31 /30 | 36.6 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 28th |
| Real Salt Lake | 36 /30 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Austin: low-volume (how Davy Arnaud plays) · Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how Pablo Andrés Mastroeni plays)