Primera División · Apertura - 25
Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto
Tue 10 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Aurora host Universitario de Vinto on Tue 10 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aurora 54%, draw 26%, Universitario de Vinto 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aurora €177K, Universitario de Vinto €152K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Primera División): Aurora rank #13 of 16, Universitario de Vinto #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aurora goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Aurora 1457 · Universitario de Vinto 1304
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aurora · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1362
Universitario de Vinto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1427
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aurora
6th in Primera División · 34 pts from 23
- 25 OctWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1459
- 17 OctLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1391
- 11 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1431
- 16 SepLGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1469
- 11 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1442
Universitario de Vinto
13th in Primera División · 21 pts from 22
- 17 OctWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1253
- 10 OctLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1270
- 17 SepDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1273
- 13 SepWIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1293
- 4 SepLABB Bolivia Primera Division1242
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 34 /23 | 41.9 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
| Universitario de Vinto | 21 /22 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aurora: balanced profile (how David Diaz plays) · Universitario de Vinto: balanced profile (how Marcelo Straccia plays)